Israeli Election Exit Polls Show Tight Race Between Likud and Yashar
Translated & summarized from Mignews by baba
Israeli Channel 12's updated exit poll for the 26th Knesset elections projects Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party to win 27 mandates, making it the largest party. Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party is expected to secure 21 mandates, with other parties receiving fewer seats. The right-wing bloc is projected to have 52 seats, while the "Change Bloc" is estimated at 50. These results show a tighter race than some earlier polls, though Channel 14's poll suggests a stronger showing for Likud.
The story in 5 lines · by baba
- Channel 12 exit poll shows Likud with 27 mandates and Yashar with 21 in Israeli Knesset elections.
- The right-wing bloc is projected to win 52 seats, while the "Change Bloc" is estimated at 50 seats.
- Pollster Shmuel Rosner noted a significant shift, tying the right-wing and "Change" blocs.
- Rosner observed Likud performing stronger than expected, with its satellite parties weaker.
- Channel 14's exit poll projects Likud with 31 mandates and a larger right-wing bloc.
Israeli Channel 12 updated its exit poll results for the 26th Knesset elections on Wednesday evening, showing Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party as the largest with 27 mandates. Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party secured second place with 21 mandates, followed by Naftali Bennett's Beyahad with 12. Other parties' projected seat allocations include the United List with 11, Yair Golan's Democrats with 9, Avigdor Lieberman's Yisrael Beiteinu with 8, and Ra'am and Shas each with 7. Yahadut HaTorah, Otzma Yehudit, and Religious Zionism are each projected to receive 6 mandates.
According to these updated figures, the right-wing bloc is estimated to win 52 seats, while the "Change Bloc" is projected to get 50, and Arab parties together 18. These results from Channel 12 follow adjustments made earlier in the evening by Channels 13 and Kan 11.
Pollster Shmuel Rosner of Channel 13 noted a significant shift, transferring one mandate from the left-wing bloc to the right-wing bloc, resulting in a tie between the blocs. Rosner also highlighted a substantial discrepancy between his earlier polls, which showed Likud with only 19 mandates, and the updated results showing 27. He observed that the right-wing bloc's composition differed greatly from previous surveys, with Likud performing much stronger than anticipated and its "satellite parties" significantly weaker. Channel 13's own update also gave Likud two additional mandates compared to its initial projection, while the Democrats dropped from 10 to 9 seats.
Consequently, Channels 11, 12, and 13 are presenting similar assessments of Likud's strength. However, an exit poll conducted by Shlomo Filber for Channel 14 presents a different picture, attributing 31 mandates to Likud and a considerably larger number of seats to the right-wing bloc.
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