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Ongoing Story· Day 35

Senior Pollster Warns Ofer Vinter's Party Could Sink Likud to 18 Seats

15 developments

SrugimPolitics

Pollster Claims Ofer Winter's Party Lost 80,000 Right-Wing Votes

Translated & summarized from Srugim by baba

Religious-rightCharged tone

Hebrew · 1 newsroom

Pollster Shlomo Filber estimates that Ofer Winter's "Am Israel" party lost 80,000 right-wing votes by failing to cross the electoral threshold. This loss prevents the national camp from securing a clear majority, according to Filber's analysis. The final government formation now depends on the actual vote count. Channel 14's exit polls showed the right-wing bloc at 60 seats, potentially reaching 62 if Yisrael Beiteinu also fails to pass the threshold.

The story in 5 lines · by baba

  • Pollster Shlomo Filber estimates Ofer Winter's party lost 80,000 right-wing votes.
  • The "Am Israel" party, led by Ofer Winter, failed to cross the electoral threshold.
  • Filber claims the lost votes prevent the national camp from achieving a clear majority.
  • Avigdor Lieberman's Yisrael Beiteinu party is also polling below the electoral threshold.
  • Channel 14's exit poll projected the right-wing bloc at 60 seats.

Pollster and analyst Shlomo Filber presented a dramatic analysis of lost votes within the national camp following the run of the "Am Israel" party, led by former Brigadier General Ofer Winter. Filber estimates that Winter's party "burned" approximately 80,000 right-wing votes that will not translate into Knesset seats because the party failed to cross the electoral threshold. This analysis comes after Channel 14's exit poll data, released on election night, indicated the right-wing bloc would secure 60 seats. Filber also commented on the prospects of Avigdor Lieberman's Yisrael Beiteinu party, stating that ground data showed significant weakness and that Lieberman was polling below the threshold. He cautioned that if Lieberman's party does not pass the threshold, the right-wing bloc could reach 62 seats. The "Am Israel" party's failure to cross the threshold, according to Filber's assessment, is preventing the national camp from achieving a clear majority, making the final government formation dependent on the actual vote count. Channel 14's full exit poll results showed the Likud with 30 seats, Yesh Atid with 19, Yamina with 11, the Joint List with 10, Shas with 9, the Democrats with 9, Ra'am with 7, Religious Zionism and Zehut with 7, Otzma Yehudit with 7, United Torah Judaism with 7, and Yisrael Beiteinu with 4 seats.

SrugimRight · Jerusalem

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