Pollster Predicts Potential Setback for Ofer Winter's Party
Translated & summarized from Now 14 by baba
News 14 pollster Shlomo (Momo) Philber predicts that Ofer Winter's Amcha Israel party may struggle to pass the electoral threshold. Philber cited a common trend of undecided voters returning to larger parties in the final election days. Winter's party, which has been polling near the threshold, could significantly impact the right-wing bloc's strength if it fails to gain Knesset representation.
The story in 5 lines · by baba
- Pollster Shlomo (Momo) Philber forecasts potential loss of support for Ofer Winter's Amcha Israel party.
- Philber cited voter trends of returning to larger parties in the final election days.
- Winter's party has been polling around the 3.25% electoral threshold.
- Ofer Winter has refused to withdraw or merge his party.
- The party's success could be significant for the right-wing bloc.
News 14 pollster Shlomo (Momo) Philber expressed skepticism regarding the Amcha Israel party's ability to cross the electoral threshold in the upcoming elections. Philber suggested that voters might revert to larger parties in the final days before the vote, potentially diminishing the support Winter's party has garnered.
During an appearance on the program "HaPatriotim," Philber was asked about the prospects of parties led by Ofer Winter and Yaron Zelekha. While not offering a definitive prediction, Philber highlighted two factors that could impact smaller parties: an ongoing "drinking campaign" that typically boosts support and a common trend of undecided voters returning to established parties in the last four days of an election. "Therefore, it could very well be that the four seats Winter had a few weeks ago will end up being very few," he stated.
Philber's remarks come at a time when Amcha Israel has been hovering around the electoral threshold in polls. Winter, who has declared his support for Benjamin Netanyahu as Prime Minister, has consistently refused offers to withdraw from the race or merge with another party.
The electoral threshold in Israel requires parties to secure 3.25% of the valid votes to gain representation in the Knesset. In an election where the battle for the 61-seat majority is expected to be close, the performance of Winter's party could be particularly significant for the right-wing bloc.
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