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Ongoing Story· Day 43

Two Key Factors Could Sway Upcoming Israeli Election Results

48 developments

MaarivPolitics

Arab Sector Turnout Surges in 2026 Elections, Potentially Shifting Power Balance

Translated & summarized from Maariv by baba

CenterCharged tone

Hebrew · 2 newsrooms covering

Unprecedented voter turnout in Israel's Arab sector is a major story in the 26th Knesset elections, potentially shifting the balance of power. Analyst Amit Segal noted the surge could impact seat distribution, with overall turnout possibly reaching 74-75%. High participation was recorded in cities like Rahat and Tayibe, with the final impact on government formation still uncertain.

The story in 5 lines · by baba

  • Arab sector voter turnout in the 26th Knesset elections is unusually high, potentially shifting the balance of power.
  • Analyst Amit Segal stated this surge is the highest since at least the 1996 elections.
  • The increased participation is seen as coming at the expense of both the 'change bloc' and the Netanyahu bloc.
  • Overall national voter turnout may reach an exceptional 74-75%, the highest this century.
  • High turnout figures were reported by 6 PM in Arab towns including Rahat, Tayibe, and Nazareth.

Unusually high voter turnout in Israel's Arab sector is emerging as a significant factor in the 26th Knesset elections, potentially altering the balance of power between political blocs. Analyst Amit Segal noted that this surge, unprecedented since at least the 1996 elections, could impact the distribution of parliamentary seats.

Segal explained that increased participation from Arab voters, primarily for the Joint List and Ra'am parties, comes at the expense of both the "change bloc" and the Netanyahu bloc. He emphasized the critical question of whether this trend would continue until polls close at 10 PM or if the initial high turnout would subside.

He further estimated that the overall national voter turnout could reach an exceptional level, possibly between 74-75%, the highest of the current century. Segal highlighted the ongoing challenge for the Likud party to close the gap and for the change bloc to mobilize additional voters in the final hours.

Data from major Arab towns illustrate the high participation rates. By 6 PM, Rahat reported 72.2% turnout, Tayibe 62.7%, Baqa al-Gharbiyye 63.8%, Nazareth 58.4%, and Umm al-Fahm 56.1%. The key question remains whether this momentum will persist and how these figures will ultimately affect the seat allocation and the formation of the next government.

MaarivCentre · Jerusalem

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