Network Activist Doubts Polls, Predicts 57 Mandates for Netanyahu Bloc
Translated & summarized from Ice by baba
Network activist Mordechai David predicts 57 mandates for the Netanyahu bloc in the upcoming Israeli elections, expressing distrust in current polls. He believes polls from Channels 11, 12, and 13 are too low, while acknowledging his own projection might still fall short of the 61 mandates needed for a government. This comes amid wide discrepancies between polls from different Israeli news channels.
The story in 6 lines · by baba
- Mordechai David predicts 57 mandates for the Netanyahu bloc, higher than most recent polls.
- David expressed distrust in election polls, stating "both sides are lying."
- Polls from Channels 11, 12, and 13 show the Netanyahu bloc around 50 mandates.
- Channel 14 polls, analyzed by Shlomo Filber, show the right-wing bloc with 62 mandates.
- Filber suggested some polls are used to influence public opinion.
- David's projection may still not be enough for Netanyahu to form a government.
Network activist Mordechai David presented his own election forecast ahead of the 26th Knesset elections, predicting 57 mandates for the "Bibi" bloc. Speaking on a podcast with Professor Amir Hetsroni, David expressed skepticism about the mandate polls released by various television channels, suggesting that "both sides are lying." He specifically referenced polls from Channel 14, edited by Shlomo Filber, and those from competing channels.
David's personal projection of 57 mandates for the Netanyahu bloc is higher than the approximately 50 mandates reported by Channels 11, 12, and 13. However, he questioned whether this would be sufficient to form a government, noting that if the other bloc received 50 mandates, Netanyahu's bloc would have 10 more. If Netanyahu's bloc reached 57, he speculated, "you have 63 including the entire Joint List," implying a potential coalition.
His remarks come amid significant discrepancies in recent election polls. Summaries from Channels 12, 13, and Kan 11 indicated the Netanyahu bloc hovering around 50 mandates, with opposing parties holding an advantage. In contrast, Channel 14's polls, conducted by NEXT DATA and analyzed by Filber, showed a vastly different picture, with the right-wing bloc securing 62 mandates in an October 21 poll, the left bloc 44, and Arab parties 14.
Filber himself has previously suggested that some polls are used as tools to influence public opinion, attributing an agenda to news outlets that commission them. While Filber anticipates the right-wing bloc achieving a majority for Netanyahu, David's forecast places the bloc in a middle ground, stronger than some polls suggest but potentially still short of the 61-mandate threshold needed to form a government.
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