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Ongoing Story· Day 52

Israeli Real Estate Stocks Lag as Interest Rate Cuts Fuel Market Optimism

4 developments

IceEconomy

Israeli Real Estate Stocks Surge 8% Amid Security Adaptation and Demand

Translated & summarized from Ice by baba

BusinessNeutral tone

Hebrew · 1 newsroom

Israeli real estate stocks have jumped 7-8% in the last month, driven by investor adaptation to security risks and a worsening housing supply shortage. Companies like Beit B'Kfar and Danya Sibas saw significant gains, while others with high leverage faced difficulties. The rebound is fueled by anticipated pent-up demand for protected housing units once security stabilizes.

The story in 5 lines · by baba

  • Israeli real estate stocks rose 7-8% last month due to security adaptation and demand.
  • Companies like Beit B'Kfar and Danya Sibas saw gains of 19-20% and over 13% respectively.
  • Investor confidence is boosted by anticipated demand for protected housing units.
  • Highly leveraged companies are struggling, while those with high liquidity lead the market.
  • Real estate and construction indices are down 3.5-5.5% for the year.

Israeli real estate stocks have experienced a significant rebound, with indices rising 7-8% in the past month, recovering from earlier declines attributed to escalating security concerns. This surge is driven by a combination of factors, including investor adaptation to managing risks during wartime and a growing recognition of persistent housing shortages.

Following the initial Iranian confrontation, there was a notable increase in urban renewal stocks, fueled by public demand for apartments with protected rooms (Mamadim) and investor confidence in the future of construction, particularly in new demolition and rebuilding projects. Companies like Beit B'Kfar, Aura Group, Oron Group, Luzan Group, and Danya Sibas have seen substantial gains, with some rising 19-20% this month. Shikun & Binui climbed over 13%, while Danya, Africa, and Ashtrom rose more than 10%, and Rotstein saw a 9% increase.

The market's recovery is also underpinned by the understanding that despite construction delays and labor shortages, the supply deficit is worsening. Pent-up demand for housing, especially protected units, is expected to surge once security stabilizes, prompting investors to return to the sector at what they perceive as attractive prices.

However, the positive trend is not uniform across all companies. A sharp differentiation exists, with companies heavily leveraged, holding expensive land acquired through significant financing, or undergoing complex mergers facing greater challenges. Those with high liquidity and strong sales prospects are leading the market's ascent. For instance, Aura saw an 8% rise after reporting good sales figures and completing several deals.

Conversely, Israel Canada's market value, around NIS 5 billion, has seen a 10% drop this year, though it corrected with a 7% rise this month, each change worth approximately NIS 500 million. Real estate investment trusts (REITs) have also experienced declines, with companies like Azorim Living, Megurit, and Abu Magur falling over 20% after signing deals for housing complexes. Overall, real estate and construction indices are down 3.5-5.5% for the year.

IceOther · Tel Aviv

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