Pollster Philber Defends Forecasts Amidst Rival Discrepancies
Translated & summarized from Now 14 by baba
News 14 pollster Shlomo (Momo) Philber defended his election forecasts, which differ significantly from other pollsters, ahead of election day. He stated he stands by his methodology and humorously suggested he would face harsh criticism if his predictions are wrong, unlike his rivals. Philber noted that voter turnout and undecided voters will be key factors in the final results.
The story in 5 lines · by baba
- Pollster Shlomo (Momo) Philber defended his election forecasts against other pollsters' predictions.
- Philber humorously stated he would be "thrown off the roof" if his forecasts are wrong.
- He contrasted his potential reception with that of rival pollsters, who he believes would be forgiven.
- Significant discrepancies exist between News 14's polls and those from other outlets.
- Philber referenced the 2015 elections, where final polls differed from actual Likud results.
News 14 pollster Shlomo (Momo) Philber addressed significant discrepancies between his forecasts and those of other pollsters ahead of election day. Speaking on the "HaPatriotim" program, Philber stated he stands by his methodology but acknowledged the debate over poll accuracy might not be definitively settled on election night. He specifically highlighted a large gap concerning the Likud party, questioning projections that suggest ten mandates have shifted to the "change bloc."
When asked about potential differences in the upcoming exit polls, Philber indicated he could only speak for his own team's work. He recalled the 2015 elections, where he managed the Likud campaign, noting a substantial difference between final polls and the actual results, which saw Likud secure 30 mandates.
Philber humorously responded to a panelist's suggestion that a pollster might face severe consequences for an inaccurate prediction. "If it's me, they'll throw me off the roof. If it's them, they'll forgive them. It's the simplest thing in the world," he said, contrasting the potential reception of his and other pollsters' results.
Despite the ongoing debate, Philber emphasized that the final poll results are not yet known and will be determined by factors such as voter turnout and the decisions of undecided voters.
