Eisenkot Leads in Most Polls Ahead of Israeli Elections, Netanyahu Trails
Translated & summarized from Kipa by baba
Ahead of the upcoming Knesset elections, Gadi Eisenkot's Yishar! party leads in seven out of nine recent polls, while Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party leads in only two. Most polls show Netanyahu's bloc falling short of a 61-seat majority. Smaller parties like those led by Ofer Winter, Yoz Hendl, and Yaron Zeilikha show varied results in clearing the electoral threshold across different surveys. The final results remain uncertain, particularly regarding the composition of potential governing coalitions.
The story in 5 lines · by baba
- Gadi Eisenkot's Yishar! party leads in seven of nine recent polls before the Knesset elections.
- Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party leads in only two of the nine pre-election polls.
- Most polls indicate Netanyahu's bloc will not achieve the 61 seats needed for a majority.
- The electoral threshold success varies for parties led by Ofer Winter, Yoz Hendl, and Yaron Zeilikha.
- Polls from different media outlets present significantly divergent results for the leading parties.
With three days remaining until the 26th Knesset elections, the latest nine pre-election polls indicate a clear frontrunner in Gadi Eisenkot's Yishar! party, which leads in seven out of nine surveys. Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party leads in only two. The outcome for smaller parties remains uncertain, with Ofer Winter's Amcha Israel party clearing the electoral threshold in two polls, while Yoz Hendl and Yaron Zeilikha's HaMiluimnikim and HaKalkalit parties pass it in five. Despite these variations, only one poll grants Netanyahu's bloc the required 61 seats for a majority.
Surveys from Channels 12, 13, and Kan 11 consistently show Eisenkot in first place. Channel 12's poll gives Yishar! 23 seats, Likud 21, and Naftali Bennett's B'Yachad 15. Channel 13 shows a wider gap, with Eisenkot at 22, Netanyahu at 19, and Bennett at 14. Kan 11's poll has Eisenkot at 22, Likud at 20, and Bennett at 14. In these three polls, Netanyahu's bloc totals only 50 seats, with Winter and Hendl failing to enter the Knesset in the Channel 12 and 13 surveys, while Kan 11 shows Hendl and Zeilikha gaining four seats.
In contrast, polls from Channels 14 and i24NEWS present a different picture, with Netanyahu leading significantly. Channel 14's latest poll shows Likud with 30 seats, Yishar! with 20, and B'Yachad with 11, giving Netanyahu's bloc 62 seats, while Winter and Hendl fall below the threshold. i24NEWS's poll has Likud at 26, Yishar! at 21, and B'Yachad at 12, with Netanyahu's bloc reaching 59 seats. This poll includes Winter's Amcha Israel party clearing the threshold with four seats, but Hendl and Zeilikha remain outside the Knesset with only 2.2% of the vote.
Additional polls from Maariv, Israel Hayom, Channel 16, and Time Israel also show Eisenkot ahead of Netanyahu. Maariv's poll gives Yishar! 21 seats to Likud's 19 and B'Yachad's 15. Israel Hayom shows Eisenkot with 23, Netanyahu with 21, and Bennett with 14. Channel 16 has Eisenkot at 20, Likud at 17, and Bennett at 14. Time Israel's poll shows Yishar! with 23 seats, Likud with 21, and B'Yachad with 11. In these four surveys, Hendl and Zeilikha pass the electoral threshold with four seats, but Winter only enters the Knesset in the Channel 16 poll, also with four seats.
A previous Walla! poll from October 20, conducted by the Lazar Institute and not included in the main nine, showed Yishar! with 23 seats, Likud with 19, and B'Yachad with 14. Hendl and Zeilikha cleared the threshold with four seats, while Winter remained outside with 2.9%, and Netanyahu's bloc secured only 48 seats. Including this poll brings Eisenkot's lead to eight out of ten surveys, Netanyahu's to two, Winter's to two, and Hendl and Zeilikha's to six.
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