Egypt's Sinai Fears Fuel Military Buildup Amid Regional Tensions

Egyptian President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi's military buildup is partly driven by concerns over Israel's regional policies and its perceived reliance on military force, according to an analysis. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu reportedly questioned Sisi about Egypt's armament, with the answer lying partly in Israel's own actions and regional standing.

From Cairo's perspective, Israel's robust military budget, its frequent conflicts, and its assertive regional statements, such as a minister suggesting Jordan is a Palestinian state, create an environment of instability. This perception, coupled with the fear of a potential future Israeli government led by the far-right, contributes to Egypt's drive to arm itself.

Beyond Israel, Egypt's rearmament is also influenced by its own internal security challenges, stemming from the period of unrest after the ousting of Hosni Mubarak in 2011. Egypt feels it cannot rely on its neighbors for security and may even face increased threats from them.

The Egyptian military's expansion is also fueled by internal dynamics, where the military establishment's prestige and influence are tied to advanced weaponry and adequate funding. A well-equipped military is seen as crucial for maintaining the regime's stability and power, especially in a region where the military often plays a dual role of national defense and ruler security.

Despite these concerns, recent events, including the war in Gaza, have shown the value of peace agreements. Jordan maintained a quiet border, and Egypt, while facing financial and security challenges on its borders, kept Sinai stable and coordinated with Israel regarding Gaza.