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Ongoing Story· Day 13

Israel Not Expected to Launch Preemptive Strike on Iran Before Elections

37 developments

Arab48Security

Israeli Military Leaders Dispute Need for Pre-Election Attack on Iran

Translated & summarized from Arab48 by baba

CommunityNeutral tone

Arabic · Sole source

Senior Israeli military officials, including Chief of Staff Eyal Zamir, stated there is no justification for an attack on Iran before the upcoming elections, unless Iran initiates an attack. Despite this, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Defense Minister Israel Katz have publicly discussed potential strikes, causing friction with the military. The military is maintaining a high alert level, conducting joint exercises with the U.S., and has plans for intervention if necessary, while preferring economic pressure as the current optimal strategy.

The story in 6 lines · by baba

  • Israeli military leaders see no need for an attack on Iran before the upcoming elections.
  • Chief of Staff Eyal Zamir emphasized the military's focus on ensuring secure elections.
  • Prime Minister Netanyahu and Defense Minister Katz's public statements on attacking Iran have caused friction with the military.
  • There are concerns that public threats could lead to dangerous escalation and miscalculation.
  • Joint U.S.-Israeli military plans for intervention exist, but economic pressure is the preferred option.
  • Reports suggest Israel had planned an attack on October 10th, which was reportedly halted by the U.S.

Senior Israeli military officials, including Chief of Staff Eyal Zamir, have stated there is no justification for an attack on Iran before the upcoming Israeli elections. These statements, reported by Israeli media outlets like Yedioth Ahronoth and Channels 12 and 13, indicate that a strike would only be considered if Iran appeared poised to attack Israel first. Military sources clarified that U.S. President Donald Trump had not prevented Israel from attacking Iran, as it was not on the agenda. The military's alert level was raised in coordination with U.S. readiness.

Zamir reportedly stated in closed meetings that while an attack on Iran is not currently deemed necessary, the military would act if the need arose. The reports noted increasing questions about a potential war with Iran just five days before the elections. A military travel ban for all personnel was set to begin Thursday evening and last at least until after election day, with Zamir emphasizing the military's role in ensuring secure elections.

Despite the military's focus on maintaining a high alert without escalating tensions, there is reported frustration with political leadership. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Defense Minister Israel Katz have publicly discussed the possibility of an attack. Netanyahu claimed Iran is attempting to develop bombs, while Katz suggested opposition leaders like Naftali Bennett, Yair Lapid, or Yair Golan would be responsible for any attack, a statement the military reportedly dislikes.

Concerns were raised that such public statements could prompt Iran to increase its own alert levels and prepare for retaliation, potentially leading to a dangerous cycle of action and reaction. The risk of miscalculation, where a misunderstanding of intentions could trigger an unintended escalation, was highlighted.

While the Israeli military maintains a high state of alert, joint U.S.-Israeli military exercises and planning for potential intervention are ongoing. However, current Iranian actions do not warrant direct intervention. From Israel's perspective, U.S. economic pressure and actions like closing the Strait of Hormuz are seen as the preferred options, leading the security establishment to avoid escalation.

Earlier reports indicated the U.S. and Israel had developed specific plans for attacks on Iran post-U.S. midterm elections. Trump had stated that "something will happen very soon" regarding Iran. Netanyahu had previously instructed the military and intelligence agencies to prepare for overthrowing the Iranian regime, which he described as the only way to permanently remove the threat. Katz had warned that Iran, at its weakest point, might resort to extreme actions, and that an Israeli attack would ignite the country. A Financial Times report suggested Israel had planned an attack on October 10th, which was reportedly halted by the U.S. President, involving strikes on nuclear, governmental, and civilian facilities.

Arab48Arab · Haifa

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