News Analyst Doubts Polls Predicting Low Likud Support
Translated & summarized from Srugim by baba
News 12 journalist Zion Nanous expressed skepticism about current polls predicting low seat numbers for the Likud party. He recalled the 2015 election, where polls underestimated Likud, which ultimately won more seats than predicted. Nanous suggested that despite current political differences, the final election results might again surprise, questioning if Likud would truly end up with only 19 seats.
The story in 5 lines · by baba
- Journalist Zion Nanous doubts polls predicting low Likud seat numbers.
- Nanous recalled the 2015 election where Likud defied poll predictions.
- In 2015, polls predicted 20-21 seats for Likud, which won 30.
- Nanous suggested Netanyahu used polls for a dramatic campaign in 2015.
- He questioned if Likud would really end up with only 19 seats this election.
News 12 journalist Zion Nanous commented on recent polls indicating relatively low support for the Likud party, recalling past elections where outcomes sharply differed from initial forecasts. In a post on his X account, Nanous recounted the final stretch of the 2015 election campaign. He noted that polls a week before the election predicted 20-21 seats for Likud, compared to 24-25 for the Zionist Union. Nanous stated that Prime Minister Netanyahu used these figures for a dramatic campaign, motivating many Likud supporters who hadn't planned to vote to turn out and prevent a loss. He highlighted the actual results: the Zionist Union ended with 24 seats, while Likud secured 30. Despite acknowledging differences in the current political landscape and circumstances, the senior journalist believes the election results might again diverge from poll predictions. "There are many differences between these elections, but it's hard to believe Likud will only get 19 seats," Nanous wrote, suggesting the party's seat count could be higher than current surveys suggest.
