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Ongoing Story· Day 48

Poll Shows New Alliances Dim Likelihood of Opposition Forming Government

101 developments

MaarivPolitics

New Poll Shows Netanyahu Bloc at New Low, Winter Falls Below Threshold

Translated & summarized from Maariv by baba

CenterNeutral tone

Hebrew · Sole source

A new Channel 13 poll shows the Gush Eisenkot bloc leading the Gush Netanyahu bloc by 52 to 49 seats. Candidate Ofer Winter is reportedly falling below the electoral threshold, facing increased pressure to withdraw. The redistribution of seats from parties failing to pass the threshold could significantly impact the political landscape. The poll analyzed vote sources, indicating Winter's support largely comes from the coalition.

The story in 5 lines · by baba

  • A new Channel 13 poll shows Gush Eisenkot leading Gush Netanyahu 52-49 seats.
  • Candidate Ofer Winter is reportedly falling below the electoral threshold.
  • Pressure is mounting on Ofer Winter from the right to withdraw.
  • Seat redistribution from parties below the threshold could impact the political balance.
  • Winter's votes are primarily from the coalition, with some opposition support.

A new poll released by Channel 13 News on Wednesday indicates a three-seat lead for the Gush Eisenkot bloc over the Gush Netanyahu bloc. According to the survey, Gush Eisenkot would receive 52 seats, while Gush Netanyahu would garner 49 seats. The poll also shows that candidate Ofer Winter is falling below the electoral threshold. Reports suggest that pressure is mounting on Winter from the right-wing to withdraw from the race. The analysis suggests that if two parties fail to pass the threshold, approximately 8 seats could be redistributed among other parties. If only one fails to pass, around 4 seats would be redistributed. The outcome of which party, if any, fails to pass the threshold could significantly impact the distribution of seats, potentially benefiting the "change bloc" more than the current coalition bloc. The poll also examined the sources of votes for different parties, noting that Winter's votes come predominantly from the coalition side, though he has also gained some support from the opposition, particularly from Lieberman's party. Votes for other candidates, like Hendel and Zelicha, are reportedly more balanced between the left and right.

MaarivCentre · Jerusalem

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