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Ongoing Story· Day 17

Israel's Unsold Housing Stock Questioned Amid Rising Numbers

4 developments

BizportalEconomy

Israel Regulators Tighten Grip on Developer Financing Amidst Housing Glut

Translated & summarized from Bizportal by baba

BusinessNeutral tone

Hebrew · Sole source

Israeli real estate developers are using creative financing deals to sell apartments amid a housing surplus, with regulators like the Bank of Israel and the Israel Securities Authority imposing new rules. These measures aim to increase transparency and capital requirements for banks, impacting developer profitability. The market faces an oversupply of around 86,000 unsold new apartments, while construction costs rise, leading to price drops in the free market.

The story in 6 lines · by baba

  • Israeli developers offer creative financing deals due to a surplus of 86,000 unsold new apartments.
  • Bank of Israel mandates higher capital for banks on projects with deferred payments.
  • Israel Securities Authority requires detailed disclosures on financing deals and cancellations.
  • Government housing programs account for 46% of new apartment sales.
  • Construction costs have risen 3.5% in the past year, squeezing developer profits.
  • Free market prices for new apartments have fallen by 0.8%.

Israeli real estate developers are increasingly offering creative financing deals, such as deferred payments and subsidized interest rates, instead of direct price reductions to sell new apartments amidst a significant oversupply. This strategy allows developers to maintain list prices while shifting the cost of financing, ultimately impacting banks. For a NIS 2.5 million apartment, a buyer might pay NIS 500,000 upfront and the remaining NIS 2 million upon delivery, which could be two to three years later.

Bank of Israel has taken notice, implementing a temporary order until the end of 2026. This regulation requires banks to allocate additional capital for projects where over a quarter of contracts involve deferred payments and caps subsidized balloon loan interest rates. These measures are beginning to affect developers' profit margins, making financing more expensive.

Adding to the regulatory pressure, the Israel Securities Authority (ISA) has issued new disclosure guidelines for prospectuses. Companies must now detail the number of apartments sold through financing schemes, the cost of these incentives, and the rate of canceled deals. Projects with cancellation rates exceeding 10% will require further specific disclosures, providing crucial information for bond investors who need to assess the true value of future payments.

The underlying issue is a substantial imbalance between supply and demand, with approximately 86,000 new apartments currently unsold. While sales have slightly increased, the inventory represents about 28 months of sales at the current pace. Construction continues at a high rate, with over 215,000 apartments under active construction nationwide, concentrated in high-demand areas like Tel Aviv and the Central District.

Government housing programs, such as discounted housing initiatives, now account for about 46% of new apartment sales, up from 40%. In the free market, prices for new apartments have seen a slight decrease of about 0.8% in the last measurement period, twice the rate of the overall new apartment index. Meanwhile, construction input costs, particularly labor, have risen by over 3.5% in the past year, further squeezing developer profitability, especially in projects on the outskirts of demand centers.

BizportalOther · Tel Aviv

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