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Ongoing Story· Day 47

Poll Shows New Alliances Dim Likelihood of Opposition Forming Government

106 developments

MaarivPolitics

Poll Shows No Bloc Reaching Majority, Bennett Voters Least Certain

Translated & summarized from Maariv by baba

CenterNeutral tone

Hebrew · Sole source

A new Walla poll shows no Israeli political bloc reaching the 61 seats needed to form a government, with Netanyahu's bloc at 48 seats and opposition parties at 54. Naftali Bennett's voters exhibit the lowest certainty, with only 23% completely confident in their choice. Arab parties are projected to gain one seat, reaching 14, while a new list is expected to secure 4 seats. The survey highlights significant differences in voter confidence across various parties and political camps.

The story in 6 lines · by baba

  • No Israeli political bloc is projected to win the 61 seats needed for government formation, according to a Walla poll.
  • Benjamin Netanyahu's bloc is polling at 48 seats, while opposition parties collectively hold 54 seats.
  • Only 23% of Naftali Bennett's supporters are completely confident in their vote, the lowest among surveyed parties.
  • Arab parties are expected to gain one seat, reaching a total of 14 seats in the poll.
  • A new list of reservists and economic figures is projected to win 4 seats.
  • Voter confidence varies significantly, with Joint List voters showing the highest certainty at 81%.
Poll Shows No Bloc Reaching Majority, Bennett Voters Least Certain
Editorial illustration generated by baba News, not a photograph of the event.

A new poll released by Walla indicates that no political bloc is currently projected to achieve the 61 seats necessary to form a government in the upcoming elections. The bloc supporting Benjamin Netanyahu has weakened to 48 seats, down from 49 in the previous survey, while opposition parties collectively hold 54 seats. A separate list comprising reservists and economic figures, led by Handel and Zalicha, is projected to win 4 seats. Arab parties together are expected to secure 14 seats, an increase of one seat compared to the prior poll.

The survey also examined voter certainty, revealing that only 23% of Naftali Bennett's supporters are "completely confident" in their choice. This figure is significantly lower than other parties, with 40% of Gadi Eisenkot's voters and 68% of Likud voters expressing complete confidence. Notably, voters for the Joint List showed the highest level of certainty at 81%, followed by Religious Zionism-Identity at 62% and Shas at 56%.

Overall, 45% of respondents are completely confident in their vote, with an additional 49% being "fairly confident." However, 5% are "not so confident," and 1% are "not at all confident." When divided by political camps, 54% of current coalition party voters are completely confident, compared to 35% of opposition voters. Despite these differences, a majority in both camps expressed at least "fairly confident" in their voting intentions.

MaarivCentre · Jerusalem

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