New Poll Shows Netanyahu Bloc Losing Ground, No Clear Majority
Translated & summarized from Cursorinfo by baba
A new Israeli poll shows Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's bloc losing four seats, falling to 51 mandates and unable to form a government alone. Gadi Eisenkot's bloc holds steady at 50 seats, with his party leading individual party results. The poll also highlights public division over exempting Haredi men from military service for coalition support, with a majority opposing it overall but a majority of current coalition voters supporting it. The results indicate a complex political landscape with no clear path to a stable majority.
The story in 7 lines · by baba
- Netanyahu's bloc drops to 51 Knesset seats in a new poll, losing four mandates.
- Gadi Eisenkot's bloc holds 50 seats, with his party projected as the largest single party.
- Neither major bloc can currently form a government independently, requiring 61 seats.
- 54% of Israelis oppose exempting Haredi men from military service for coalition support.
- 60% of current coalition voters favor exempting Haredi men from military service.
- "Yeshar!" party led by Gadi Eisenkot is projected to win 20 seats.
- "Likud" party led by Benjamin Netanyahu is projected to win 18 seats.
A new Israeli election poll indicates significant shifts in parliamentary power, potentially complicating the formation of a future coalition government. The bloc supporting Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has dropped four seats since the last survey, now projected to win 51 mandates in the Knesset, according to a poll by Channel 13 published on October 14 and reported by Maariv. This decline means Netanyahu's bloc cannot form a government independently.
The bloc led by Gadi Eisenkot, a former IDF Chief of Staff, maintains 50 mandates. Eisenkot's party, "Yeshar!", is projected to be the largest single party with 20 seats, surpassing Netanyahu's "Likud" party, which is down to 18 seats. Neither bloc has the 61 seats required for a majority.
Other parties showing significant results include Naftali Bennett's "The Together" party with 12 mandates. Yair Golan's "Democrats" and Avigdor Lieberman's "Yisrael Beiteinu" are each projected to win nine seats. Within the current right-wing and religious camp, Yaakov Asher's "United Torah Judaism" and Itamar Ben-Gvir's "Otzma Yehudit" are expected to secure eight seats each. Arie Deri's "Shas" is polling at seven seats, while Bezalel Smotrich and Moshe Feiglin's "Religious Zionism - Zehut" alliance is at six.
Smaller parties also show movement. Ofer Winter's "Am Israel" party and Yoaz Hendel's "Economic Reserves" alliance are both projected to cross the electoral threshold and gain four seats each. Benny Gantz's "National Unity" party, however, falls short of the threshold with 1.2% of the vote, as does a Haredi party polling at 1.1%.
Among Arab parties, the joint list of Hadash, Ta'al, and Balad, led by Yousef Jabarin, is projected to win nine mandates. Mansour Abbas's Ra'am party is expected to gain five seats. The poll also revealed public opinion on exempting Haredi men from mandatory military service in exchange for coalition support: 54% oppose such an agreement, while 30% support it. However, 60% of current coalition party voters favor the exemption, indicating a societal divide on the issue.
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