Poll Shows Major Israeli Parties Risk Knesset Exclusion
Translated & summarized from Cursorinfo by baba
A new poll by KANTAR for "Kан 11" shows Gadi Eisenkot's "Yashar" party leading with 23 seats, ahead of "Likud" with 21. Ofer Winter's "Amcha Israel" and Benny Gantz's "Blue and White" parties are projected to fall short of the electoral threshold. The opposition bloc is narrowly ahead of the coalition bloc in projected seats. The economy and security are the main campaign issues, with voter uncertainty remaining high.
The story in 6 lines · by baba
- Gadi Eisenkot's "Yashar" party leads a new poll with 23 projected Knesset seats.
- Ofer Winter's "Amcha Israel" and Benny Gantz's "Blue and White" parties risk not crossing the electoral threshold.
- The opposition bloc is projected to have a slight edge with 52 seats over the coalition's 51.
- Gadi Eisenkot leads Benjamin Netanyahu in preferred prime minister ratings, 43% to 35%.
- Economy and cost of living are the top campaign issues for 34% of respondents.
- 30% of citizens remain undecided, and 26% are considering not voting.
A new poll indicates significant shifts in Israeli political sentiment, with several established parties potentially failing to cross the electoral threshold for the Knesset. The "Kан 11" television channel released findings from a KANTAR institute survey projecting that Ofer Winter's "Amcha Israel" party and Benny Gantz's "Blue and White" party would not secure enough votes to enter parliament. Winter's party garnered 3.1% of the vote, falling short of the required percentage, while "Blue and White" also failed to pass the barrier.
If elections were held today, Gadi Eisenkot's "Yashar" party would emerge as the largest faction with 23 seats. The ruling "Likud" party, led by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, is projected to come in second with 21 seats. Naftali Bennett's "Bayahad" bloc is expected to win 12 seats. Other parties projected to enter the Knesset include "Democratim" (9 seats), "Otzma Yehudit," "Shas," "Yisrael Beiteinu," and the "Joint List" (8 seats each), "Tzionut Datit"-"Zeut" and "Yahadut HaTorah" (7 seats each), "Ra'am" (5 seats), and the "Miluimnikim"-"Kalkalit" reservists list (4 seats).
The poll also suggests a close race between the opposition and coalition blocs. The opposition, led by Eisenkot, is projected to win 52 seats, while the current coalition parties would secure 51 seats. Arab parties are expected to gain 13 seats, and the reservists' list 4 seats.
In personal ratings for prime minister, Gadi Eisenkot leads with 43% support, ahead of Benjamin Netanyahu's 35%. In a hypothetical contest between Netanyahu and Bennett, Netanyahu holds a slight edge with 38% to Bennett's 34%. When pitted against each other, 32% favor Eisenkot over Bennett's 22%, with 46% unwilling to support either.
Despite the upcoming elections, voter uncertainty remains high, with 30% undecided and 26% considering abstaining. The primary campaign issues identified are the economy and cost of living (34%), followed by personal and national security (32%). Coalition supporters prioritize security (45%), while opposition voters focus on the economic crisis (41%). In the event of an electoral deadlock, 33% favor a government of national unity, 27% support new elections, and 20% would consider a minority government.
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