Israelis Divided on Election Outcome, Poll Shows
Translated & summarized from Cursorinfo by baba
A "Israel Election Barometer" poll indicates that 65% of Israeli coalition supporters believe Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu will remain in power, while only 48% of opposition supporters are confident their bloc will win. Coalition supporters express higher confidence in their predictions than opposition supporters. A significant portion of voters, particularly those supporting smaller parties, anticipate repeat elections. The poll surveyed 744 respondents and was conducted by the Maskar-Ravdim Institute for Channel 7.
The story in 5 lines · by baba
- 65% of Israeli coalition supporters expect Benjamin Netanyahu to remain Prime Minister, according to a poll.
- 48% of Israeli opposition supporters believe their bloc will form the next government.
- Coalition supporters show higher confidence in their election outcome predictions than opposition supporters.
- A significant percentage of voters, especially those supporting smaller parties, anticipate repeat elections.
- The poll surveyed 744 respondents and was conducted by the Maskar-Ravdim Institute for Channel 7.
A recent "Israel Election Barometer" poll conducted by the Maskar-Ravdim Institute for Channel 7 reveals differing expectations among Israeli voters regarding the upcoming elections. Supporters of the current coalition are largely confident that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu will remain in power, with 65% believing he will retain his post. Only 1.5% of this group anticipate a victory for the opposition's "Change Bloc," while 16% expect a repeat election and another 16% are undecided.
Conversely, opposition supporters show less certainty about their bloc forming the next government. Forty-eight percent of opposition voters believe their candidate will lead the next government, but 8.6% still expect Netanyahu to stay in power. Twenty-one percent of opposition supporters see a repeat election as the most likely scenario, and 5.4% anticipate a rotation agreement for the prime minister position.
The poll also measured voter confidence. Coalition supporters expecting Netanyahu to remain in power reported an average confidence level of 4.33 out of 5. Opposition supporters hoping for a change in government rated their confidence at 3.97 out of 5, indicating greater certainty among the coalition's base.
Further divisions were observed among opposition supporters based on gender. Fifty-five percent of opposition men expect the "Change Bloc" to form the government, compared to 43% of women. The expectation of Netanyahu remaining prime minister was similar for both genders, around 8.5%. Men supporting the opposition also expressed higher confidence in their prediction, averaging 4.27 out of 5, versus 3.65 for women.
Among voters of parties not aligned with either major bloc, such as those supporting Winter, Hendel-Zelicha, and Benny Gantz, the expectation of repeat elections is prevalent. Sixty-three percent of Gantz's supporters, 46% of Hendel-Zelicha's supporters, and 38% of Winter's supporters believe new elections are likely.
The survey highlights a general trend: coalition supporters are more confident in Netanyahu's continued leadership, while the opposition lacks the same level of conviction for a change in government. A significant portion of voters across the spectrum are considering the possibility of repeat elections, suggesting ongoing political uncertainty. This comes as Lieberman previously presented a plan to remove Netanyahu after the elections.
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