Israeli Election Polls Show Divided Results for Netanyahu's Bloc
Translated & summarized from NEWSru Israel by baba
Five recent Israeli opinion polls released between October 14-16 show conflicting results, with four predicting Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party ahead of Likud, and only one poll from Channel 14 giving the current coalition a Knesset majority. The coalition bloc's projected seat count ranges from 47 to 62, while opposition Zionist parties are predicted to receive between 44 and 54 seats. A "Maariv" poll found that 55% of Israelis prefer a national unity government if no bloc wins a majority, and Eisenkot is favored over Netanyahu for prime minister.
The story in 6 lines · by baba
- Five recent Israeli election polls show significant discrepancies in projected seat allocations.
- Four polls favor Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party over Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud.
- Only Channel 14's poll predicts a majority for the current coalition bloc, with 62 seats.
- The coalition bloc's projected seats range from 47 to 62 across the five polls.
- A majority of Israelis prefer a national unity government if no bloc wins an election majority.
- Gadi Eisenkot is favored over Benjamin Netanyahu for prime minister in one poll.
Five recent opinion polls conducted in Israel between October 14-16 reveal significantly divergent predictions for the upcoming elections. Four of the surveys indicate that Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party holds an advantage over the Likud party. Only one poll, from Channel 14, suggests that the current coalition parties will secure a majority in the Knesset.
A "Maariv" newspaper poll conducted by Lazar Research and Panel4ALL projects Yashar receiving 21 seats and Likud 18. This poll shows the current coalition bloc, including Ofer Winter's party, obtaining 51 seats, matching the number for opposition Zionist parties. Arab parties together are predicted to win 14 seats.
The "Israel Hayom" poll forecasts Yashar with 24 seats and Likud with 21. The current coalition parties are predicted to get 50 seats, while opposition Zionist parties would receive 52. Arab parties are expected to secure 14 seats.
"Zman Israel" reported a poll where Yashar leads with 26 seats, its highest result among the five surveys, with Likud at 20. The current coalition bloc is projected to win 49 seats, and the Zionist opposition 54. Arab parties are expected to gain 13 seats.
The Channel 14 poll, conducted by NEXT DATA under Shlomo Filber, is the sole survey predicting a majority for Netanyahu's bloc, with Likud receiving 29 seats and Yashar 20. This poll shows the current coalition parties securing 62 seats, the Zionist opposition 44, and Arab parties 14.
Conversely, a Channel 13 poll shows Yashar with 20 seats and Likud with 18. The current coalition bloc is predicted to win 47 seats, the Zionist opposition 54, and Arab parties 15. The combined results for the current coalition bloc range from 47 to 62 seats, and for opposition Zionist parties from 44 to 54.
The "Maariv" poll also explored public opinion on resolving political deadlock. A majority of 55% of respondents favor forming a national unity government if no bloc wins a majority, while 27% prefer new elections. Among opposition supporters, 54% would only back a unity government led by a "change bloc" representative. Within the current coalition's voters, 36% prefer a unity government led by Benjamin Netanyahu, and 32% favor new elections. Gadi Eisenkot is seen as more suitable for the prime minister role than Netanyahu by 48% to 41%. Netanyahu fares equally with former Prime Minister Naftali Bennett at 43% and leads Avigdor Lieberman 43% to 37%. A significant 79% of all respondents are confident their supported bloc will win the election.
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