New Poll Shows Yashar Party Leading Likud, No Bloc Majority
Translated & summarized from NEWSru Israel by baba
A new poll by Channel 13 shows Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party leading Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party, 20 mandates to 18, with neither political bloc securing a majority. The survey also indicated that 45% of Israelis prefer Eisenkot as prime minister over Netanyahu. Furthermore, a majority opposes a right-wing government that would exempt yeshiva students from military service, and nearly half believe Netanyahu should fire advisor Yonatan Urikh over alleged Qatari ties. The poll surveyed 1,018 respondents.
The story in 5 lines · by baba
- Yashar party leads Likud 20-18 in new Channel 13 poll, with no bloc majority.
- Gadi Eisenkot is preferred prime minister over Benjamin Netanyahu by 45% to 38%.
- A majority opposes a right-wing government exempting yeshiva students from military service.
- 47% want Netanyahu to dismiss advisor Yonatan Urikh over alleged Qatar connections.
- Blue and White and Haredim parties fail to pass the electoral threshold in the poll.
A new poll released Wednesday by Channel 13 indicates that the Yashar party, led by Gadi Eisenkot, would become the largest faction in the Knesset if elections were held today, garnering 20 mandates. The Likud party, headed by Benjamin Netanyahu, would receive 18 mandates, a loss of two seats compared to a previous survey. Naftali Bennett's Bayahad party is projected to win 12 seats, followed by "Democratim" with 9, "Yisrael Beiteinu" with 9, the Joint List of Arab parties with 9, "Otzma Yehudit" with 8, "Yahadut HaTorah" with 8, Shas with 7, and "Tzionut Datit"-"Zeut" with 6. The Ra'am party and Ofer Winter's "Amcha Israel" list are each expected to receive 4 mandates, while Yoav Hendel's "Miluimnikim"-"Kalkalit" list also secures 4. Benny Gantz's "Blue and White" party, at 1.2%, and the "Haredim" party, at 1.1%, would not pass the electoral threshold.
The poll also showed a shift in bloc support. Netanyahu's bloc is projected to win 51 mandates, down four from the previous poll, while Eisenkot's bloc maintains 50 mandates. Mandates from Arab parties and Winter's list were not included in the bloc calculations. When asked about the preferred prime minister, 45% of respondents favored Eisenkot, compared to 38% for Netanyahu.
Regarding government formation, 40% of those surveyed supported forming a government with the backing of Arab parties, or their abstention, as the only way to remove Netanyahu from power. Conversely, 43% opposed this approach, with 18% undecided. A significant majority, 54%, opposed the formation of a right-wing government reliant on ultra-Orthodox parties that would include a law exempting yeshiva students from military conscription, while 30% supported it.
Additionally, 47% of respondents believe Netanyahu should dismiss his advisor Yonatan Urikh due to reports of his connections to Qatar. Sixteen percent disagreed with his dismissal, and 38% were undecided. The survey was conducted by A-Madad Research Group in conjunction with Stat-Net, Project Midgam, and Askaria Institute, polling 1,018 respondents with a maximum statistical error of 3.1%.
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