Poll Shows Yashar and Likud Losing Seats, Coalition Bloc Leads

A poll released by KANTAR on Sunday, October 11, indicates shifts in the Israeli political landscape. If elections were held today, the Yashar party, led by Gadi Eisenkot, would emerge as the largest party with 22 Knesset seats, one less than in the previous KANTAR poll. The Likud party also saw a decline, losing one mandate to secure 20 seats. The "Behad" bloc garnered 12 mandates, while "Otzma Yehudit" gained one seat to reach 9. Other parties securing eight mandates each include Yisrael Beiteinu, "Democratim," "Yahadut HaTorah," and the Joint Arab List. Shas received seven mandates, Ra'am and the "Zionut Datit"-"Zeut" bloc obtained five each. The parties "Amcha Israel" and "Miluimnikim"-"Kalkalit" are projected to pass the electoral threshold, each winning four mandates.

According to Dudi Hasid, CEO of KANTAR, Yoaz Hendel's list is nearing five mandates, while Winter's party is on the verge of the electoral barrier. In terms of political blocs, the current coalition bloc is projected to win 53 mandates, compared to the opposition bloc's 50. Arab parties collectively would secure 13 mandates, and "Miluimnikim"-"Kalkalit," which does not align with any bloc, would receive four mandates.

When asked to choose between Binyamin Netanyahu and Gadi Eisenkot for the role of Prime Minister, Israelis favored Eisenkot, with 43% considering him more suitable for the position, while 38% preferred Netanyahu. In a comparison between Netanyahu and Naftali Bennett, 40% opted for the current Prime Minister, and 36% favored Bennett.

The survey also revealed that 70% of respondents have already decided on their vote, while 30% remain undecided. A significant portion of voters are considering switching allegiances: 26% of respondents indicated they would vote for parties outside the bloc they supported in the previous election. Among current coalition voters, 26% previously voted for opposition parties. Conversely, 28% of those intending to vote for opposition parties had voted for current coalition parties in the past. Additionally, 21% of respondents are contemplating abstaining from voting.