Israeli Election Polls Show Tight Race With No Clear Majority
Translated & summarized from Cursorinfo by baba
Recent Israeli election polls show a close race with no clear majority for any bloc, three weeks before voting. The "Yashar!" party led by Gadi Eisenkot and Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party are consistently polling closely, often tied. Several parties, including Ofer Winter's "Am Israel," are struggling to cross the electoral threshold, which could significantly impact the final seat distribution and government formation.
The story in 6 lines · by baba
- Israeli election polls show no bloc is projected to win the 61 seats needed for a majority.
- Gadi Eisenkot's "Yashar!" party and Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party are consistently polling neck-and-neck.
- Several parties, including Ofer Winter's "Am Israel," are polling below the electoral threshold.
- The average of four polls shows Netanyahu's and Eisenkot's blocs each receiving approximately 52 seats.
- Arab parties are expected to collectively win around 12-15 seats across different polls.
- The outcome of the election remains uncertain with just three weeks remaining until voting.
With three weeks until the election, five recent polls indicate a highly competitive race, with no political bloc currently projected to secure the 61 Knesset seats needed for a majority. The "Yashar!" party, led by Gadi Eisenkot, appears as the leading single party in three of the surveys, but the overall political landscape remains uncertain.
According to the average of four polls, the bloc led by Benjamin Netanyahu, including Ofer Winter's "Am Israel" party, and the Zionist opposition are each expected to gain approximately 52.3 seats. The Likud party is averaging 23 seats, while "Yashar!" is polling at 22.2 seats. Parties hovering around the electoral threshold could prove decisive in forming the next government.
A Maariv poll shows the Likud coalition bloc and the opposition bloc tied at 52 seats each. The opposition bloc lost one seat due to declining support for the "Democrats" party, while within the coalition, "Otzma Yehudit" lost a seat and "Religious Zionism" gained one. Arab parties maintained their positions, collectively securing 12 seats.
The 13th Channel poll also indicates a tie between "Yashar!" and Likud, with both parties receiving 20 seats. However, "Yashar!" lost a seat while Likud gained one. In bloc terms, Netanyahu's bloc has 55 seats and Eisenkot's has 50. Arab parties collectively garnered 15 seats. Ofer Winter's "Am Israel" party crossed the electoral threshold with five seats. The "Reservists - Economic Party," "Hatzibur Ha'Haredi," and "Kachol Lavan" failed to pass the threshold.
A Kan 11 poll suggests "Am Israel" will not pass the electoral threshold. "Yashar!" leads with 23 seats, followed by Likud with 21. Naftali Bennett's "Beyahad" party gained a seat, reaching 12. With "Am Israel" below the threshold, Eisenkot's bloc has 52 seats against Netanyahu's 51.
The 12th Channel poll places "Yashar!" ahead with 23 seats, and Likud with 21. Opposition parties are projected to win 54 seats, the coalition 49, and Arab parties 13. "Am Israel," "Hatzibur Ha'Haredi," "Kachol Lavan," and Avi Maoz's "Noam" party are all below the electoral threshold.
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