Israel Braces for Super El Niño Winter with Heavy Rains and Flooding
Translated & summarized from i24NEWS French by baba
Israel is preparing for a "Super El Niño" winter, anticipating significantly above-average rainfall and increased flood risks. Forecasts suggest national precipitation could exceed seasonal norms by 11-15%, with some regions receiving up to 145% of the average. Forecasters predict heavy rains in October and November, potential southern flooding, severe storms, and significant snowfall later in the winter, including in Jerusalem. Health risks from increased mosquito populations due to stagnant water are also a concern.
The story in 5 lines · by baba
- Israel anticipates a "Super El Niño" winter with extreme weather, including heavy rains and floods.
- National rainfall may exceed seasonal averages by 11-15%, with some regions seeing 145% of normal.
- October and November are expected to be exceptionally rainy, potentially doubling the average precipitation.
- Risks include flooding in the south, severe storms, hail, and significant snowfall, even in Jerusalem.
- Public health concerns include potential disease spread due to mosquito proliferation from stagnant water.
The world is preparing for a particularly intense El Niño event, which is predicted to cause extreme weather phenomena across multiple continents. Israel is also expected to be affected, with forecasts indicating significantly higher than average rainfall, increased flood risks, and substantial snowfall. This year's El Niño is described by meteorological models as exceptionally strong, with Pacific Ocean water temperatures potentially rising 3.8°C above normal, which could have significant impacts on agriculture, food supply, and public health.
Nadav Davidovitch, a member of the steering committee for the fight against the climate crisis, explained to i24NEWS that El Niño has been occurring for many years, causing extreme weather events like floods and heatwaves globally, and can also impact Israel. Health consequences are also a concern, as heavy rainfall and stagnant water can promote mosquito proliferation, increasing the risk of disease transmission.
In Israel, forecasts predict a particularly rainy winter. National precipitation levels are expected to exceed seasonal averages by 11% to 15%. Specific regions, including Judea, the Negev, the Golan, and the Galilee, could see rainfall reaching 145% of the norm. Boaz Dayan, a forecaster and head of the Israel Weather site, estimates that October and November could be very rainy, with precipitation potentially doubling the average nationwide. He also warned of flood risks in the south, severe thunderstorms with hail, and significant snowfall later in the winter, even in Jerusalem.
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