Poll Shows Netanyahu's Bloc Stabilizing After Three Years of War
Translated & summarized from N12 by baba
A Channel 12 poll released after three years of war shows Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's bloc has stabilized around 49 seats, narrowing the gap with the opposition. Despite this recovery from a low of 45 seats in November 2023, neither bloc can form a majority government. The poll also found 65% of the public believes Netanyahu bears significant responsibility for the October 7th failures, and 66% support a state commission of inquiry.
The story in 6 lines · by baba
- Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's bloc has stabilized at approximately 49 seats three years into the war, according to a Channel 12 poll.
- Despite stabilization, neither the Netanyahu bloc nor the opposition currently holds enough seats to form a majority government.
- The gap between the blocs has narrowed from a high of 20 seats in November 2023 to six seats.
- Sixty-five percent of the public believes Prime Minister Netanyahu bears significant responsibility for the October 7th failures.
- Thirty-three percent of coalition voters considered changing their vote due to the war's consequences.
- Sixty-six percent of the public supports establishing a state commission of inquiry into the events, down from 85% previously.
Three years into the ongoing conflict, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's political bloc has stabilized, according to a Channel 12 poll. While the bloc supporting Netanyahu has recovered from a low of 45 seats in November 2023 to approximately 49 seats, neither bloc currently holds enough seats to form a majority government. The poll indicates that the passage of time has helped Netanyahu narrow the gap with the opposition, which once led by 20 seats but now leads by only six.
In November 2023, a month after the October 7th attacks, opposition parties collectively garnered 65 seats in a hypothetical election, while Netanyahu's bloc was at 45. If Naftali Bennett had entered the race at that time, the opposition could have reached 69 seats, shrinking Netanyahu's bloc to 41, with the Likud party falling to 17 seats. The gap has consistently narrowed since then, reaching 8 seats in November 2024 and 6 seats by November 2025.
Regarding responsibility for the October 7th failures, 65% of the public believes Prime Minister Netanyahu bears significant responsibility, while 22% believe his responsibility is minor. Among Netanyahu's own supporters, one in four attributes significant responsibility to him, though 48% believe his responsibility is minor, and some absolve him entirely.
Furthermore, the poll revealed that 33% of coalition voters considered changing their vote due to the war's consequences. However, 63% stated the events had little or no impact on their voting considerations. The public remains largely in favor of establishing a state commission of inquiry into the events, with 66% supporting it, though this figure is lower than the 85% recorded in June 2024.
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