Poll Shows Netanyahu's Bloc Stabilizing After Three Years of War
Translated & summarized from Mako by baba
A Channel 12 poll indicates Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's bloc has stabilized at around 49 seats three years into the war, recovering from a low of 45 seats in November 2023. Despite this recovery, neither the government nor the opposition bloc can currently form a majority government. The poll also found that 65% of the public believes Netanyahu bears significant responsibility for the October 7th failures, and 66% support establishing a state commission of inquiry, though support has decreased.
The story in 6 lines · by baba
- Netanyahu's bloc has stabilized at approximately 49 seats three years into the war, according to a Channel 12 poll.
- Despite stabilization, neither the government nor the opposition bloc can currently form a majority government.
- 65% of the public believes Prime Minister Netanyahu bears significant responsibility for the October 7th failures.
- A majority of 66% still supports establishing a state commission of inquiry into the October 7th failures.
- 33% of coalition voters considered changing their vote due to the war's consequences.
- The opposition bloc led Netanyahu's bloc by 20 seats in November 2023, but the gap has narrowed to 6 seats.
Three years into the ongoing conflict, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's political bloc has stabilized, according to a Channel 12 poll. While the bloc supporting Netanyahu has recovered from a low of 45 seats in November 2023 to approximately 49 seats, neither bloc currently holds enough seats to form a majority government. The poll indicates that the passage of time has helped Netanyahu narrow the gap with the opposition, which once led by as much as 20 seats.
In November 2023, about a month after the October 7th attacks, opposition parties collectively garnered 65 seats in a hypothetical election, while Netanyahu's bloc stood at 45. The Likud party, in particular, saw its seat count drop from 32 to 17. By November 2024, the gap had narrowed to 8 seats, and by November 2025, it was down to 6 seats. The latest poll shows Netanyahu's bloc at 49 seats, with the opposition still leading but far from the numbers they achieved immediately after the attacks.
Regarding responsibility for the October 7th failures, 65% of the public believes Prime Minister Netanyahu bears significant responsibility, while 22% think his responsibility is minor. Among Netanyahu's own supporters, one in four attributes significant responsibility to him, though 48% believe his responsibility is minor, and some absolve him entirely.
Furthermore, the poll revealed that 33% of coalition voters considered changing their vote due to the war's consequences. However, 63% stated the events had little or no impact on their voting considerations.
A majority of the public still supports establishing a state commission of inquiry into the October 7th failures, with 66% in favor. This figure, however, represents a decrease from June 2024, when 85% supported such a commission.
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