Israel Concerned as Iran Resumes Ballistic Missile Production

Israel is reportedly concerned by Iran's resumption of ballistic missile production, although the Islamic Republic has not yet crossed "red lines" set by Jerusalem. While Iran's production rate is slow, Israeli intelligence identifies a return to building strength and military buildup. However, Iran has not resumed uranium enrichment.

Chief of Staff Eyal Zamir currently maintains that a military strike would only be considered if Israel's red lines are crossed, which has not happened. A key concern for Israel is the U.S. stance; despite close coordination, it remains unclear if President Trump will launch an attack and when. Israel currently favors continued and intensified economic pressure on Iran, viewing it as effective.

Intelligence estimates suggest Iran can now produce about 50 ballistic missiles per month, roughly half its pre-war capacity. This recovery raises questions about the effectiveness of past airstrikes and provides Iran with a significant response capability if hostilities resume. Meanwhile, Iran remains firm on its demands, including the lifting of sanctions and the release of assets, and has threatened to expand the conflict to Europe.

Former Mossad chief Dedi Barnea warned that Iran is already working to rebuild its nuclear program, asserting that the current regime will pursue nuclear weapons with or without an agreement. He proposed a complete blockade of the Strait of Hormuz alongside continued economic sanctions, suggesting that while war could hasten regime collapse, it would have severe global economic consequences.