Ex-Navy Chief Warns Against Attacking Iran, Citing Energy Crisis Risk
Translated & summarized from Maariv by baba
Former Israeli Navy Commander Eliezer Marom warned against attacking Iran, stating it would not stop the nuclear program and could cause an energy crisis. He advised patience, believing Iran's internal economic struggles will lead to regime change. Marom cautioned that an attack might provoke Iran to disrupt global energy supplies, and any successor regime could be equally extreme.
The story in 5 lines · by baba
- Former Israeli Navy Commander Eliezer Marom advised against attacking Iran.
- Marom warned an attack would not halt Iran's nuclear program.
- He predicted an attack could trigger a global energy crisis.
- Marom cited Iran's severe economic problems as a path to regime change.
- He stressed the need for patience and warned of unpredictable regime collapses.
Former Israeli Navy Commander Eliezer Marom has cautioned against military action against Iran, arguing that an attack would not halt its nuclear program and could instead trigger a global energy crisis. Marom expressed concern that such an intervention might lead to Iran remaining under extremist control even after an attack. He suggested that the Iranian nuclear issue is a non-negotiable element for Tehran, regardless of external pressures.
Marom believes that the West faces two primary scenarios regarding Iran: a U.S. agreement or the regime's collapse, neither of which appears imminent. He emphasized the need for patience, noting that regime changes historically occur unpredictably after prolonged periods. Marom stated there is no current need to attack Iran unless there is definitive intelligence of an imminent nuclear test.
He argued that further airstrikes are unlikely to topple the regime, pointing to Iran's severe economic difficulties, including inflation, unemployment, and energy shortages, as factors that will eventually lead to its downfall. Marom advised allowing these internal pressures to continue, suggesting that patience will yield results.
Furthermore, Marom warned of a scenario where Iran could deliberately escalate the conflict by attacking fuel infrastructure, thereby causing global fuel prices to skyrocket and creating an energy crisis. He questioned the purpose of an attack if it does not have a clear plan to dismantle the regime, suggesting that any successor government could be equally problematic. Marom concluded that the Revolutionary Guard will likely determine the next leader, leading to a continuation of the current extremist rule, and therefore advised against an immediate attack.
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