US May Strike Iran November 4, Qatar Reports Negotiation Breakthrough

Israel and Gulf states are awaiting a final decision from U.S. President Donald Trump on whether the United States will resume attacks on Iran. Such a move could signal a long-term campaign for Israel and the region, with uncertainty over whether the U.S. military would act alone or if Israel would join. Trump now appears to have set a date for the operation, following prolonged threats.

American network "MS NOW" reported Friday night that the decision has been made: Trump intends to order the resumption of U.S. attacks on Iran on November 4, the day after the midterm elections. Three senior Gulf officials, cited in the report, stated that Trump had briefed his Gulf allies on the planned operation, describing it as expected to be "short and intense" and executed on November 4.

The report also claimed that Gulf allies are actively working to de-escalate tensions, fearing Tehran's response. A senior regional official indicated he "would not be surprised" if some regional countries refused to allow the U.S. to conduct attacks from bases on their territory.

Meanwhile, Qatar-owned newspaper "Al-Araby Al-Jadeed" reported a breakthrough in indirect negotiations between the U.S. and Iran. According to the report, this led to a U.S. delegation joining ongoing talks in Doha, aiming to advance direct negotiations with Iran.

Separately, Israeli Channel 12 military correspondent Yossi Yehoshua reported Friday that Israel is on high alert in preparation for an attack on Iran, while Trump desires a short campaign. However, Israel believes such a campaign would be long-term. The security establishment estimates that a direct confrontation with Iran would almost certainly lead to opening an additional front with Hezbollah. While there is no need for undue panic, preparations should be made to deal simultaneously with threats from drones, small unmanned aircraft, and missile fire from the north.