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Ongoing Story· Day 36

Predictive Markets: How Money Can Influence Election Outcomes

8 developments

Arutz ShevaSecurity

Online Betting Platform Investigates Suspected Insider Trading on Israeli Election Results

Translated & summarized from Arutz Sheva by baba

RightNeutral tone

Hebrew · 3 newsrooms covering

The international betting platform Polymarket is investigating hundreds of accounts for suspected insider trading on Israeli election results. These accounts allegedly bet on Benjamin Netanyahu and the Likud party's success shortly before exit polls were released. Some bets resulted in significant profits, with over $100,000 withdrawn by certain accounts. The investigation aims to determine if non-public information was used.

The story in 5 lines · by baba

  • Polymarket is investigating hundreds of accounts for suspected insider trading on Israeli election outcomes.
  • Hundreds of new digital wallets bet on Netanyahu and Likud's success before exit polls were released.
  • Some of these bets yielded significant profits, with over $100,000 withdrawn.
  • The timing of the bets and their success have raised questions about the information source.
  • Blockchain analytics firms also identified suspicious trading patterns.
Online Betting Platform Investigates Suspected Insider Trading on Israeli Election Results
Editorial illustration generated by baba News, not a photograph of the event.

The international online betting platform Polymarket is investigating suspicious activity involving hundreds of accounts that allegedly bet on Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and the Likud party's success in Israel's recent Knesset elections. The investigation was prompted after hundreds of new digital wallets placed bets on Netanyahu's victory and the Likud becoming the largest party shortly before official exit polls were released. The betting platform, which allows users to wager on global political and economic events, is examining dozens of accounts to determine if users acted on non-public information. According to a report by Bloomberg, a significant portion of this activity occurred just as polling stations were closing on election day, prior to the televised exit poll announcements. Following the release of exit polls, which indicated stronger-than-expected results for the Likud, some of these bets yielded substantial profits. Bloomberg reported that some accounts have already withdrawn over $100,000 in cumulative winnings. The timing of account openings, the proximity of the bets to the poll releases, and the success of some traders have raised questions about the source of their information. Blockchain analytics firms Polysights and Bubblemaps also identified trading patterns that raised suspicions. The ability to track transactions via digital wallets allows investigators to analyze the timing, volume, and profits of these alleged bets.

Arutz ShevaRight · Beit El

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