New Elections Possible Amid Foreign Interference Claims, Analyst Says

Political tensions are escalating over the 2026 election results and allegations of foreign interference, according to political commentator Amit Segal. Writing in "Israel Hayom," Segal analyzes the implications of ongoing Shin Bet and police investigations, suggesting that the possibility of repeat elections is more tangible than ever.

Segal posits that dramatic suspicions regarding Qatar's alleged purchase of votes significantly increase the likelihood of new elections. He argues that a substantial, unprecedented surge in voter turnout, regardless of its legality, cannot be replicated, especially with heightened security agency scrutiny. "Anyone who understands elections knows there's no such jump in turnout without a massive, one-time operation, whether legal or not. It cannot be repeated, especially with the Shin Bet's eye now wide open," Segal wrote.

Regarding coalition formation and concerns within the "change bloc" about being dragged into further elections, Segal clarifies the situation within the right-wing bloc. He asserts that Prime Minister Netanyahu has no reason to be anxious, stating that Netanyahu is indifferent to the prospect of new elections. Segal explained that while Netanyahu might include figures like Izankot, Bennett, or Liberman in a government, he is unwilling to make significant concessions such as a state inquiry commission, a conscription law, the removal of Ben-Gvir, or the Justice Ministry portfolio. "Do you want to join? Please, like other partners in the bloc. Izankot sees Netanyahu as a danger. Netanyahu sees Izankot as a nuisance," Segal stated.

Segal also highlights the quiet advantage of a transitional government for Netanyahu. While typically seen as paralyzed, a transitional government offers strategic benefits, preventing no-confidence votes and limiting partners' ability to harass or threaten. Crucially, it allows Netanyahu to pursue key foreign policy issues like Iran, Saudi Arabia, Gaza, and Lebanon. Segal concludes by noting the paradox of the Arab vote, suggesting that while intended to oust Netanyahu, it ultimately bolstered his survival, stating, "This time too, they succeeded too much."