Channel 14 Poll Shows Netanyahu Bloc Gaining Majority
Translated & summarized from Behadrei Haredim by baba
A revised Channel 14 election poll projects the Benjamin Netanyahu bloc will win 62 seats, securing a majority to form a government. This shift is largely due to Avigdor Lieberman's Yisrael Beiteinu party falling below the electoral threshold. The Likud party gained a seat, while opposition parties saw mixed results. The poll's projections differ significantly from those of other Israeli news channels, underscoring election night uncertainty.
The story in 6 lines · by baba
- Channel 14's revised poll shows Netanyahu bloc reaching 62 seats, potentially forming a government.
- Yisrael Beiteinu, led by Avigdor Lieberman, fell below the electoral threshold in the updated poll.
- Likud gained one seat to 31, Shas rose to 10, and other right-wing parties held steady.
- Opposition parties saw shifts, with National Unity reaching 20 seats.
- Arab parties collectively secured 18 seats in the revised projection.
- Channel 14's poll significantly differs from projections by other Israeli news outlets.
A revised election poll released by Channel 14 overnight Wednesday indicates a significant shift, projecting the Benjamin Netanyahu bloc to secure 62 seats in the Knesset, granting them a two-seat majority needed to form a government. This change is primarily attributed to the Yisrael Beiteinu party, led by Avigdor Lieberman, falling below the electoral threshold. In the initial poll, Yisrael Beiteinu had been allocated four seats, but the updated projection places it outside the Knesset.
The Likud party, headed by Benjamin Netanyahu, saw an increase from 30 to 31 seats in the updated poll. Shas, under Aryeh Deri, rose from nine to ten seats, while United Torah Judaism maintained seven. Otzma Yehudit and Religious Zionism-Tkuma each received seven seats. The right-wing bloc collectively reached 62 seats, compared to 60 in the earlier poll.
Changes were also observed among opposition parties. Gadi Eisenkot's National Unity party strengthened to 20 seats, Naftali Bennett's New Hope party remained at 11, and the Democrats secured nine. With Yisrael Beiteinu out, the Jewish opposition parties together garnered only 40 seats. Arab parties saw a slight increase, with the Joint List gaining one seat to reach 11, and Ra'am holding steady at seven, for a combined total of 18 seats.
Pollster Shlomo Filber had previously expressed doubts about Yisrael Beiteinu's ability to cross the threshold, stating that data analysis suggested they were below the required percentage. The initial allocation of four seats was a precautionary measure. The revised poll reflects the redistribution of these seats among parties that successfully passed the threshold.
Channel 14's updated poll presents a stark contrast to projections from other networks. Channel 12, Channel 13, and Kan 11's polls showed the Netanyahu bloc with only 50 seats, while i24NEWS projected 55. These discrepancies highlight the ongoing uncertainty on election night. The final results, determined by the official vote count, will confirm whether Yisrael Beiteinu remains outside the Knesset and if the Netanyahu bloc achieves a majority.
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