Poll Shake-Up: Netanyahu Bloc Could Reach 62 Seats
Translated & summarized from Srugim by baba
A new projection by Channel 14's pollster Shlomo Filber suggests the right-wing bloc could win 61-62 Knesset seats if Yisrael Beiteinu fails to pass the electoral threshold. Filber also reported that Ofer Winter's Am Israel party did not pass the threshold, potentially wasting 80,000 right-wing votes. Am Israel disputed this, claiming their participation hurt the center-left. Initial polls showed Likud with 30 seats.
The story in 5 lines · by baba
- Shlomo Filber's new projection indicates Netanyahu's bloc could reach 61-62 seats.
- Yisrael Beiteinu, led by Avigdor Lieberman, may not pass the electoral threshold.
- Ofer Winter's Am Israel party reportedly failed to cross the threshold, wasting 80,000 votes.
- Am Israel party disputes claims of wasted votes, citing internal research.
- Initial projections showed Likud with 30 seats and Yisrael Beiteinu near the threshold.
A dramatic shift in election night polling projections suggests the bloc supporting Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu could secure a majority of 61 to 62 Knesset seats. This projection hinges on the Yisrael Beiteinu party, led by Avigdor Lieberman, failing to cross the electoral threshold, according to Shlomo Filber, a surveyor and analyst for Channel 14's poll.
Filber stated that while Yisrael Beiteinu was allocated four seats in the initial poll out of caution, if they ultimately do not pass the threshold, the right-wing bloc would gain seats, reaching the 61-62 mandate range. This recalculation follows earlier reports from Filber indicating that the Am Israel party, led by Brigadier General (Res.) Ofer Winter, did not pass the electoral threshold, potentially wasting around 80,000 right-wing votes.
The Am Israel party responded to the claims, calling the notion of wasted votes "absurd" based on their internal research. They argued that most of Winter's voters do not come from the current coalition and that his party's participation prevented parties like Harel and Zelicha from crossing the threshold, which would have bolstered the center-left bloc with an additional four seats.
Initial projections from Filber's poll had placed the Likud party at 30 seats, Yisrael (Izban) at 19, and other parties with varying numbers, with Yisrael Beiteinu on the cusp of the threshold with 4 seats.
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