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Ongoing Story· Day 54

Poll Shows New Alliances Dim Likelihood of Opposition Forming Government

128 developments

MaarivPolitics

Election Polls Show No Clear Majority for Any Bloc

Translated & summarized from Maariv by baba

CenterNeutral tone

Hebrew · 1 newsroom

Exit polls from Israeli television channels on October 27, 2026, show the Likud party as the largest with 25 seats, followed by Gadi Eisenkot's Yishar! with 21-23 seats. No bloc is projected to reach the 61-seat majority needed to form a government. Several smaller parties are expected to fall below the electoral threshold.

The story in 5 lines · by baba

  • Exit polls show Likud as the largest party with 25 seats in the 26th Knesset election.
  • Gadi Eisenkot's Yishar! party is projected to win 21-23 seats, placing second.
  • No political bloc is projected to achieve the 61 seats required for a majority government.
  • Naftali Bennett's 'Together' party is expected to secure 14 seats.
  • Several parties, including those led by Ofer Vinter, are predicted to miss the electoral threshold.

Exit polls released by Israeli television channels on October 27, 2026, indicate a close race in the election for the 26th Knesset, with no single bloc securing a majority of 61 seats. The Likud party emerged as the largest party in most polls, projected to win 25 seats. Yishar!, led by Gadi Eisenkot, followed closely with 23 seats in one poll, and 21 and 22 seats in others. Naftali Bennett's 'Together' party was projected to receive 14 seats across the polls, while the Joint List and the Democrats each garnered around 10-11 seats.

Several smaller parties are shown to be struggling to pass the electoral threshold. According to Channel 13's poll, Yishar! bloc would secure 53 seats, Netanyahu's bloc 50, and Arab parties 17. Channel 12's poll showed Eisenkot's bloc with 52 seats, Netanyahu's with 50, and Arab parties with 18. The polls also indicated that parties led by Ofer Vinter, Yoaz Hendel, and Yaron Zehlikha, as well as the Haredi Public party, would not pass the electoral threshold.

Discrepancies exist between the polls, particularly regarding the seat allocation for parties like Israel Beiteinu, Ra'am, Shas, United Torah Judaism, Otzma Yehudit, and Religious Zionism. However, a consistent trend across the polls suggests that neither the bloc supporting Eisenkot nor the bloc supporting Netanyahu is projected to achieve the 61 seats needed for a majority government. The Arab parties are collectively expected to win around 17-18 seats.

MaarivCentre · Jerusalem

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