Maccabi Tel Aviv Favored for Championship, Maccabi Haifa's Chances Slim

A supercomputer analysis predicts Maccabi Tel Aviv has a 54% chance of winning the league championship, making them the clear favorite. The analysis, published by Sport 5, also forecasts the final standings for the top five teams after the first round of the season.

Maccabi Haifa, despite being ahead of Beitar Jerusalem in the current standings, is projected to have the lowest chance of winning the title at just 3.9%. This comes after their recent 5-2 loss to Hapoel Be'er Sheva in the eighth round of the 2026/27 season.

Maccabi Tel Aviv, currently leading the league table with 20 points, has the easiest remaining schedule until the end of the first round, having already played all other top-five teams. In contrast, the other four top teams still have two matches against rivals within the top five.

Hapoel Be'er Sheva, the reigning champion, is second in the computer's prediction with a 25.2% chance of winning, followed by Hapoel Tel Aviv with 11.9%, and Beitar Jerusalem with 4.8%. The analysis also considers Hapoel Be'er Sheva's heavier schedule due to their participation in the Europa League.

The internal standings among the top five teams show Maccabi Tel Aviv leading with 10 points from 4 games, followed by Hapoel Tel Aviv and Hapoel Be'er Sheva with 3 points each from 2 games. Beitar Jerusalem also has 1 point from 2 games, while Maccabi Haifa has 0 points from 2 games.