Final Poll Shows Arab Parties Holding Firm, Coalition Bloc Gains Strength
Translated & summarized from i24NEWS Arabic by baba
A final pre-election poll by i24NEWS and Direct Polls projects the ruling coalition bloc will win 59 seats, while the Likud party remains the largest single party with 26 seats. "Yish Atid" is second with 21 seats, and the Joint List gains one seat to reach 9. The poll surveyed 5,124 Israelis and has a margin of error of ±1.4%.
The story in 5 lines · by baba
- Final election poll projects ruling coalition bloc will win 59 seats, with Likud as largest party at 26.
- Yish Atid gains one seat to 21, while Joint List also increases its projected seats to 9.
- Ofer Winter's "Amcha Israel" party is projected to pass the electoral threshold with 4 seats.
- The poll surveyed 5,124 Israeli adults with a margin of error of ±1.4%.
- The survey was conducted by Direct Polls for i24NEWS on October 22, 2026.
With four days remaining until the general election, a new poll released by i24NEWS in collaboration with Direct Polls, led by Tzuriell Sharon, indicates the ruling coalition bloc is strengthening, projected to secure 59 seats. The survey also shows Ofer Winter and the "Amcha Israel" party surpassing the electoral threshold, and a further boost for the Joint List.
The Likud party is projected to remain the largest party, with 26 seats, unchanged from i24NEWS's previous poll on October 20. "Yish Atid," led by Gadi Eisenkot, is in second place with 21 seats, an increase of one seat. Naftali Bennett's "Bayit Yehudi" party is stable with 12 seats.
The Joint List continues its upward trend, gaining one seat to reach 9 seats. "Otzma Yehudit," led by Itamar Ben-Gvir, is projected to lose one seat, securing 8. Shas and the Democrats are both stable at 8 seats, though the latter is down one seat. "Yahadut HaTorah" is expected to lose one seat and receive 7. "Religious Zionism" and "Zehut" are both projected to get 6 seats, a decrease of one seat each. "Yisrael Beiteinu" also drops one seat to 6. "Ra'am" loses one seat to the Joint List and settles at 5 seats.
Ofer Winter and "Amcha Israel" are projected to secure 4 seats, having failed to pass the electoral threshold in the previous two polls. Parties not expected to pass the threshold include "HaReserves" and "The Economic Party," both at 2.2%. Parties with less than one percent include "Black Color," "The Haredi Public," "Achi," and "Noam for Israel."
The poll, conducted by Direct Polls under Tzuriell Sharon for i24NEWS on October 22, 2026, surveyed 5,124 adult respondents (18+) representing a cross-section of the Israeli population. The margin of error is ±1.4% with a 95% confidence level.
Mentioned
