Latest Polls Show Eisenkot Bloc Leading Netanyahu, No Majority for Either Side
Translated & summarized from TheMarker by baba
Recent Israeli election polls indicate a lead for Gadi Eisenkot's bloc over Binyamin Netanyahu's coalition, with no side projected to secure a governing majority of 61 seats. Polls from Channels 12, 13, and Kan 11 show varying seat allocations, but all suggest a close race. Several smaller parties, including Amcha Israel and Miluimnikim, are shown failing to cross the electoral threshold in most surveys. The polls were conducted by the Kantar Institute.
The story in 6 lines · by baba
- Latest Israeli election polls show Gush Eisenkot leading Netanyahu's bloc, but no majority is projected.
- Channel 12 poll gives Gush Eisenkot 56 seats versus 50 for Netanyahu's bloc.
- Channel 13 poll predicts Gush Eisenkot with 54 seats and Netanyahu's bloc with 50.
- Kan 11 poll shows Gush Eisenkot with 52 seats and the coalition with 50.
- Several parties, including Amcha Israel and Miluimnikim, are projected to fall below the electoral threshold.
- Yesher, led by Gadi Eisenkot, is the largest single party in most surveys.
The latest pre-election polls, released Friday on Israel's three major television channels, indicate a lead for the Gush Eisenkot bloc over the current coalition, though no bloc is projected to reach the 61-seat majority needed to form a government. Channel 12's poll shows Gush Eisenkot with 56 seats against Netanyahu's bloc with 50, while Channel 13 predicts a 54-50 split. Kan 11's survey suggests Gush Eisenkot would secure 52 seats compared to the coalition's 50.
According to the Channel 12 and 13 polls, the Amcha Israel and Miluimnikim parties are not expected to pass the electoral threshold. Ofer Winter's party, Amcha Israel, remains below the threshold in the Kan 11 poll as well. The Kantar Institute poll for Kan 11, which surveyed 1,106 respondents with a 3% margin of error, shows Gush Eisenkot with 52 seats and the coalition with 50. The largest party in this poll is Yesher, led by Gadi Eisenkot, with 22 seats, one less than in the previous survey. The Likud party, led by Binyamin Netanyahu, is also weakened, receiving 20 seats. Naftali Bennett's Bachad party gains two seats to reach 14, and the Joint List strengthens by one seat to nine.
The Channel 12 poll projects Gush Eisenkot with 56 seats versus 50 for Netanyahu's supporting parties. Yesher is the largest party with 23 seats, followed by Likud with 21. The Democrats receive ten seats, and the Joint List has nine. Otzma Yehudit, Yisrael Beiteinu, and Shas each get eight seats, as does Yahadut HaTorah, which gains one. Religious Zionism and Ra'am each receive seven seats, and United Torah Judaism gets five. Amcha Israel and Miluimnikim, led by Ofer Winter and Yoaz Hendel and Yaron Zelicha respectively, along with the Hacharedi Public party led by Moti Leitner, do not pass the electoral threshold.
Channel 13's poll forecasts Gush Eisenkot with 54 seats and Netanyahu's bloc with 50. Yesher is the largest party with 22 seats, followed by Likud with 19. Bachad and the Democrats maintain their strength with 14 and 10 seats respectively. The Joint List receives nine seats. Yisrael Beiteinu, Yahadut HaTorah, Otzma Yehudit, and Religious Zionism each get eight seats. Shas and Ra'am follow with seven seats. Amcha Israel, Miluimnikim, and the Hacharedi Public party do not pass the electoral threshold in this survey.
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