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Ongoing Story· Day 50

Poll Shows New Alliances Dim Likelihood of Opposition Forming Government

110 developments

MaarivPolitics

Maariv Poll: Netanyahu Bloc Faces Trouble as Opposition Gains

Translated & summarized from Maariv by baba

CenterNeutral tone

Hebrew · Sole source

A Maariv poll shows the "change bloc" leading with 54 mandates against the Netanyahu bloc's 48, with over 80% of Israelis intending to vote. The public largely favors a unity government, while several smaller parties are projected to fall short of the electoral threshold. The survey was conducted from October 19-22.

The story in 5 lines · by baba

  • Maariv poll shows "change bloc" leading Netanyahu bloc 54-48 mandates.
  • Over 80% of Israelis are convinced they will vote in upcoming elections.
  • Sixty percent of the public prefers the establishment of a unity government.
  • Several smaller parties, including Am Israel, may not pass the electoral threshold.
  • Opposition voters are more likely to vote than coalition supporters, poll finds.
Maariv Poll: Netanyahu Bloc Faces Trouble as Opposition Gains
Editorial illustration generated by baba News, not a photograph of the event.

A new Maariv poll indicates a strengthening of the "change bloc" in Israeli politics, projecting it to secure 54 mandates compared to 48 for the Netanyahu bloc. The survey, conducted between October 19-22, suggests that over 80% of Israelis are convinced they will vote, with a higher turnout expected among opposition supporters (87%) than coalition supporters (83%).

Sixty percent of the public favors the establishment of a unity government. Among opposition voters, a majority (55%) desire a unity government led by someone from their own bloc, while coalition voters show a decrease in preference for repeat elections, falling from 32% to 25%.

The poll also revealed that several smaller parties, including Am Israel (3%), the Haredi parties (0.9%), Noam Le'Israel (0.5%), and Tsumet Beit Israel (0.5%), would not pass the electoral threshold if elections were held now.

The survey involved an initial sample of 1,000 participants, with a final sample of 1,048 individuals aged 18 and above, encompassing both Arab and Jewish populations. Data collection utilized a combination of online panels and telephone surveys, with a maximum margin of error of 3%.

MaarivCentre · Jerusalem

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