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Ongoing Story· Day 12

Israel Not Expected to Launch Preemptive Strike on Iran Before Elections

24 developments

Behadrei HaredimSecurity

US Pressure Mounts for Israeli Government Amidst Iran Strike Fears

Translated & summarized from Behadrei Haredim by baba

ReligiousCharged tone

Hebrew · Sole source

A potential military strike on Iran's nuclear facilities is being considered for the period between Israel's October 27th elections and the US November 3rd midterms, according to a diplomatic source. The timing is also seen as a tactic to pressure Prime Minister Netanyahu into forming a broad coalition government. The US is reportedly moving military assets and applying diplomatic pressure for a government without extremists, a condition also sought by Saudi Arabia. Meanwhile, Israeli political figures have offered differing views on the potential government composition and the influence of external pressure.

The story in 5 lines · by baba

  • A strike on Iran's nuclear facilities may occur between Israeli and US elections, a diplomatic source stated.
  • The timing of a potential strike is intended to pressure PM Netanyahu into forming a broad government.
  • US Ambassador Mike Huckabee has met with Israeli politicians to discuss forming a broad government.
  • One proposal involves a Netanyahu-led unity government with Gadi Eisenkot's party.
  • Netanyahu pledged Itamar Ben-Gvir would be a senior minister in his next government.

A military strike against Iran's nuclear facilities could occur in the narrow window between Israel's October 27th Knesset elections and the US November 3rd midterm elections, even before a new government is formed, a Middle Eastern diplomatic source told Israel Hayom. The timing, beyond operational necessity, is intended to pressure Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu into forming a broad coalition government. Officials in Israel and the US are reportedly no longer debating whether an attack will happen, but when. Updated intelligence suggests Tehran is accelerating its bomb-building efforts and attempting to complete weaponization components. Iran possesses approximately 450 kg of uranium enriched close to military grade and is relocating centrifuges and facilities underground. The primary strike is expected to be carried out by the Americans, who have already begun moving an aircraft carrier and refueling planes to the Middle East. However, a senior diplomatic official clarified that any strike would be based on operational needs, independent of the political timeline.

Concurrently, the Trump administration is exerting significant pressure for the formation of a broad Israeli government "without extremists," a condition also set by Saudi Arabia for joining the Abraham Accords. US Ambassador Mike Huckabee has met with senior Israeli political figures, including Gadi Eisenkot, to convey that the US would welcome a stable and broad government. One proposal being considered in Washington involves a unity government between the Likud party and Eisenkot's Yisrael Beiteinu party, with Netanyahu serving for up to two years, focusing on ending wars and advancing regional agreements before exiting politics. Israeli Ambassador to Washington Yechiel Leiter told CNN that Netanyahu is indeed seeking a unity government. Conversely, Netanyahu pledged this week that Itamar Ben-Gvir would serve as a senior minister in his government, while Eisenkot responded to US pressure by stating, "Only Israeli citizens will decide who will be the next prime minister."

Behadrei HaredimHaredi · Jerusalem

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