New Poll Shows Coalition Gains Ahead of 2026 Israeli Election
Translated & summarized from i24NEWS by baba
A new i24NEWS poll released a week before the 2026 Israeli elections shows the coalition gaining a seat to 58, while the opposition bloc led by Ayzenkot drops to 47 seats. The Likud party is projected to win 26 seats, and Ofer Winter's Amcha Israel party failed to pass the electoral threshold. Benny Gantz announced his withdrawal from politics on Monday.
The story in 5 lines · by baba
- Coalition bloc gains one seat to 58 in new poll, opposition bloc drops to 47.
- Likud projected to win 26 seats, Yesher! party led by Ayzenkot drops to 20.
- Ofer Winter's Amcha Israel party fails to pass electoral threshold.
- Benny Gantz announced his withdrawal from the Blue and White Party on Monday.
- The poll was conducted by Direct Polls for i24NEWS on October 20, 2026.
With one week remaining until the 2026 Israeli elections, a new poll conducted by i24NEWS in collaboration with the Direct Polls institute reveals significant shifts in the political landscape. The survey, broadcast on Monday evening, indicates a strengthening of the coalition parties at the expense of the bloc led by Ayzenkot.
The Likud party, led by Netanyahu, is projected to receive 26 seats, a gain of one seat since the previous Sunday's poll. The Yesher! party, led by Ayzenkot, drops one seat to 20, while Naftali Bennett's Yachad party also loses a seat, securing 12. Benny Gvir's Otzma Yehudit party falls to 9 seats, the same number projected for Yair Golan's Democrats party, which remains stable. Shas, United Torah Judaism, and the Joint List each hold steady with 8 seats. Avigdor Liberman's Yisrael Beiteinu gains one seat to 7, as does the Religious Zionism and Identity party, also reaching 7 seats. Ra'am is projected to win 6 seats.
Ofer Winter's Amcha Israel party failed to pass the electoral threshold, garnering only 3.1% of the vote compared to the required 3.25%. The Reservists and Economic party also fell short, receiving 2.6%. Several smaller parties, including Black Color, Haredi Public, Achi, Noam LeIsrael, and Israel First - Green Tree, received less than 1% of the vote.
The poll indicates a shift in bloc strength, with the coalition bloc gaining one seat to 58, while Ayzenkot's bloc loses one seat to 47. The Arab parties maintain their 14 seats.
Benny Gantz, chairman of the Blue and White Party, announced his withdrawal from the political race on Monday. Concurrently, pressure is mounting on Ofer Winter to withdraw from his party.
The survey was conducted on October 20, 2026, among 521 adult respondents, with a statistical margin of error of ±4.3% at a 95% confidence level.
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