US Hesitation and Underlying Factors Dominate Headlines

American threats against Iran are no longer convincing the world of Washington's ability to impose its will, as President Trump faces complex military and political calculations that make escalating from threats to action a risky adventure. The article questions whether this hesitation stems from undisclosed intelligence or a recognition by the US administration that war with Iran could have uncontrollable consequences.

Western military and intelligence movements have raised many questions, but claims of Iran possessing nuclear weapons or conducting secret tests remain unproven. Despite superior US and Israeli military power, Iran holds strategic advantages, including its geography and potential influence over the Persian Gulf, the Strait of Hormuz, and energy markets. A full-scale war could become a costly quagmire for Washington and its allies, even with the US's capacity for devastating strikes.

The piece suggests that while the US might not withdraw entirely from the Middle East, shifting power dynamics could lead to a reassessment and reduction of its military commitments. This scenario would force Israel to confront the reality that military strength alone does not guarantee lasting security and cannot replace just political settlements. The author advocates for Israel to reconsider its policies toward its neighbors, emphasizing that true peace requires ending the occupation and recognizing Palestinian rights, rather than imposing facts by force.

Globally, China is advancing economically, technologically, and militarily, while Russia continues its confrontation with the West in Ukraine amidst increasing complexities. Europe, despite its economic strength, struggles to build an independent defense system from the US. These shifts indicate a move toward a multipolar world, though the future dominant power remains undecided.

It is premature to declare America's loss or Iran's definitive regional control, as wars are measured by their outcomes, not just rhetoric. However, the cost of confrontation may exceed the expectations of those making hasty decisions. The era of absolute dominance is being challenged, and major powers can no longer guarantee outcomes solely through their will. The author hopes these transformations will lead to a review of aggressive policies, with Israel recognizing that security is not solely achieved through force, and Washington understanding that respecting peoples and their rights offers more lasting stability than threats.