Israel Braces for Potential Extreme Rains in November After Dry October
Translated & summarized from Vesty by baba
Israel's Meteorological Service Director Dr. Amir Givati predicts extreme rains in November, following a dry October that has seen localized showers mainly in the north. While El Niño brings heavy rains to neighboring countries like Turkey and Greece, Israel anticipates a dry spell until at least the October 27 elections. Givati confirmed that current models still show potential for heavy rainfall in Israel later in the fall, despite recent forecasts suggesting the election day will be dry.
The story in 5 lines · by baba
- Israel's Meteorological Service expects extreme rains in November, with a dry spell continuing until at least October 27.
- Director Dr. Amir Givati stated that the rainy season is delayed, with significant downpours possible in November.
- Neighboring regions like Greece and Turkey have experienced severe flooding due to El Niño.
- The preliminary forecast for election day, October 27, indicates dry and comfortable weather.
- Autumn temperatures in Israel have been lower than usual this year.
While neighboring regions are experiencing heavy rainfall due to El Niño, Israel is set for a dry spell until at least the upcoming elections on October 27. Dr. Amir Givati, Director of the Meteorological Service, stated on Sunday, October 18, that the expected rainy season is delayed, with significant downpours, possibly extreme, anticipated in November. He noted that October 18 was likely the last rainy day before an extended dry period, with comfortable, warm weather expected for the following week, reaching up to 25 degrees Celsius in central Israel.
Recent rainfall has been localized, primarily affecting northern Israel and the coastal plain. On October 18, Kfar Hasidim recorded 10 mm of rain, Tel Aviv 7 mm, and other northern areas received lesser amounts. The preceding weekend saw rain mainly in Western Galilee and the northern coast, with about 15 mm falling in Galilee, which Givati described as significant but not countrywide.
Givati highlighted the severe flooding in Istanbul, where record rainfall caused three deaths and widespread damage, and noted similar conditions in Greece. He reiterated that Israel has not yet experienced a truly rainy season, with most significant rains occurring "around us." He expressed confidence that a proper autumn season will arrive, either in late October or early November.
The Israeli Academy of Sciences' Climate Commission has previously warned that El Niño could increase the risk of intense rains and floods in Israel, though it does not guarantee a wet winter. Current forecast models still indicate the possibility of heavy rains in Israel. Despite October being less rainy than expected, autumn temperatures have been lower than usual.
Regarding the October 27 election day, the preliminary forecast suggests dry and comfortable weather. However, Givati cautioned that the forecast could change within the nine days remaining, though no rain is currently visible on the horizon.
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