Poll Shows Coalition Voters Confident Netanyahu Will Lead Next Government
Translated & summarized from Arutz Sheva by baba
A Channel 7 poll indicates coalition voters are highly confident Benjamin Netanyahu will lead the next government, with 65% expecting his continued premiership. Opposition voters are divided, with 48% anticipating a "change bloc" candidate and 8.6% expecting Netanyahu to remain. Coalition voters expressed higher certainty in their predictions. The poll surveyed 744 respondents and focused on Jewish party voters.
The story in 6 lines · by baba
- 65% of coalition voters expect Benjamin Netanyahu to lead the next government, according to a Channel 7 poll.
- 48% of opposition voters believe a "change bloc" candidate will head the next government.
- Coalition voters expressed higher confidence in their predictions than opposition voters.
- A minority of opposition voters, 8.6%, anticipate Netanyahu will continue as Prime Minister.
- The poll surveyed 744 respondents and focused on Jewish party voters.
- A majority of voters for Gantz, Huldai-Zelicha, and Winter expect repeat elections.
A new poll conducted for Channel 7 by the Midgam-Ravivs institute reveals differing expectations between coalition and opposition voters regarding the next Israeli government.
Among coalition voters, 65% believe Benjamin Netanyahu will continue as Prime Minister after the next election. In stark contrast, only 1.5% of coalition voters anticipate a candidate from the "change bloc" leading the government. The remaining coalition supporters, approximately 33%, predict repeat elections (16%), a rotation government (2.1%), or are unsure (16%).
Opposition voters present a different picture, though less decisive. 48% of opposition voters expect a candidate from the "change bloc" to head the next government, while 8.6% believe Netanyahu will remain Prime Minister. The rest of the opposition voters foresee repeat elections (21%), a rotation government (5.4%), or are uncertain (16%).
The poll highlights an asymmetry: while coalition voters overwhelmingly expect Netanyahu to continue, a noticeable minority of opposition voters do anticipate his continued leadership. Furthermore, coalition voters expressing confidence in Netanyahu's premiership reported a higher average certainty of 4.33 out of 5, compared to opposition voters' average certainty of 3.97 regarding a "change bloc" leader.
Differences were also noted between genders within the opposition. While both male and female opposition voters showed similar expectations for Netanyahu's continuation (around 8.5%), a larger percentage of men (55%) expected a "change bloc" candidate to lead, compared to women (43%). Men also expressed higher confidence (4.27 out of 5) in this outcome than women (3.65).
The poll focused solely on Jewish party voters, defining the coalition as Likud, Religious Zionism-Identity, Otzma Yehudit, Shas, United Torah Judaism, and Noam. The opposition bloc included Yesh Atid, National Unity, Yisrael Beiteinu, and The Democrats. Parties like Gantz, Huldai-Zelicha, and Winter were excluded from the bloc analysis, with a majority of their voters expecting repeat elections.
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