New Poll Shows Israeli Blocs Tied, Likud Weakens, Arab Parties Surge
Translated & summarized from Behadrei Haredim by baba
A new poll shows the Israeli coalition and opposition blocs tied at 51 mandates each, with the Likud party dropping to 18 mandates. Arab parties collectively reached a record 14 mandates, and Yaron Zelicha's new party secured 4 mandates. Gadi Eisenkot leads Benjamin Netanyahu in suitability for Prime Minister, and a majority prefer a unity government if no clear winner emerges.
The story in 6 lines · by baba
- New poll shows Israeli coalition and opposition blocs tied at 51 mandates each.
- Likud party drops to 18 mandates, while Arab parties reach a record 14 mandates.
- Gadi Eisenkot leads Benjamin Netanyahu in suitability for Prime Minister.
- Yaron Zelicha's new party, 'The Reservists and the Economic,' crosses electoral threshold with 4 mandates.
- A majority of Israelis prefer a unity government over new elections if no clear winner emerges.
- The poll surveyed 700 adults between October 14-15 with a 3.7% margin of error.
A new poll conducted by Lazar Research, led by Dr. Menachem Lazar in collaboration with Panel4ALL, indicates a deadlock between the coalition and opposition blocs, with each securing 51 mandates. The Likud party has seen a significant drop, losing two mandates to stand at 18. Conversely, Arab parties have collectively gained one mandate each, reaching a record high of 14 mandates.
Yaron Zelicha's new party, 'The Reservists and the Economic,' has successfully crossed the electoral threshold, garnering 4 mandates and remaining unaffiliated with either bloc. The poll's full mandate distribution shows Gadi Eisenkot's 'Yash!' leading with 21 mandates, followed by Likud with 18. 'Beitech' has 13, Democrats 9, Yisrael Beiteinu 8, Otzma Yehudit 8, the Joint List 8, United Torah Judaism 8, Shas 7, Religious Zionism 6, Ra'am 6, 'Am Yisrael' 4, and 'The Reservists and the Economic' with 4.
Several parties, including Blue and White (1.1%), The Haredi Public (0.5%), Noam (0.5%), and Tzomet (0.2%), failed to pass the electoral threshold. Approximately 5.2% of respondents remain undecided.
In a head-to-head comparison for Prime Minister, Gadi Eisenkot leads Benjamin Netanyahu with 48% support compared to Netanyahu's 41%. Eisenkot is tied with Naftali Bennett at 43%, while Netanyahu leads Avigdor Lieberman 43% to 37%.
Should the election result in no clear winner, 55% of the public would prefer a unity government over new elections (27%). Opposition voters are divided, with 54% favoring a unity government led by the change bloc. Coalition voters are split between a Netanyahu-led unity government (36%) and repeat elections (32%). The survey was conducted on October 14-15 among a representative sample of 700 adult respondents across Israel, with a maximum margin of error of 3.7%.
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