Iran on High Alert for Further Escalation, Nuclear Expert Assesses
Translated & summarized from Srugim by baba
Iran is on high alert and preparing for further escalation, according to nuclear expert Avner Vilan. He stated that Iran is "stretched to the limit" in its readiness and that the element of surprise against them is gone. Vilan also commented on the strategic implications of past actions, suggesting that replacing Iran's former leader led to increased control by the Revolutionary Guards and that the recent "Lion's Roar" operation failed to achieve its goal of regime change.
The story in 5 lines · by baba
- Iran is on high alert and preparing for both defense and offense in anticipation of further escalation.
- Expert Avner Vilan stated that the element of surprise against Iran is nonexistent.
- Vilan believes that restoring Iran's missile or air defense capabilities does not justify an attack.
- He agreed that the assassination of Khamenei the father was a mistake, leading to Revolutionary Guard control.
- The "Lion's Roar" operation, aimed at regime change, failed to achieve its objective, Vilan assessed.
An expert on Iran's nuclear program, Avner Vilan, who previously held senior security positions, stated on Sunday that Iran is on high alert for further escalation, preparing for both defense and offense. Vilan told 103fm radio that the element of surprise against Iran is now nonexistent, and the country is "stretched to the limit" in its readiness for a "next round."
Vilan dismissed the notion of an immediate attack on Iran, stating that efforts to restore Iran's missile or air defense capabilities do not warrant an attack at such a sensitive time for democratic decisions in both Israel and the United States.
He also commented on Yair Golan's controversial statement about the assassination of Khamenei the father, agreeing that it was a mistake. Vilan explained that Iran on February 27th was a fractured nation following major riots and a collapsing economy, and that replacing Khamenei the father led to a leadership controlled by the Revolutionary Guards. He noted that Khamenei the father had not decided to pursue nuclear weapons and had issued a fatwa prohibiting their development.
Vilan warned that the alternative of Iran possessing nuclear weapons would be a significant mistake. He added that the recent operation, "Lion's Roar," aimed at regime change, failed to achieve its objective. Vilan expressed concern that if Iran acquires nuclear weapons while Israel is "ostracized," the goal of regime change will become increasingly distant.
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