Five Polls Show Wide Discrepancy in Likud Support, Steady Gains for Yishar
Translated & summarized from NEWSru Israel by baba
Five recent polls released between October 5 and 9 show a wide range of support for the Likud party, with projections varying from 20 to 31 Knesset seats. Gadi Eisenkot's Yishar party consistently polled between 20 and 23 seats. One poll from Channel 14 projected the Likud with 31 seats and the current coalition securing a majority, while four other polls showed the Likud between 20-21 seats and the coalition falling short of a majority. A Maariv poll indicated more respondents favored Eisenkot over Netanyahu as prime minister.
The story in 6 lines · by baba
- Five recent polls show Likud support ranging from 20 to 31 Knesset seats.
- Gadi Eisenkot's Yishar party consistently polled between 20 and 23 seats in all five surveys.
- A Channel 14 poll projected the Likud with 31 seats and the current coalition winning a majority.
- Four other polls showed the Likud between 20-21 seats and the coalition lacking a majority.
- More respondents favored Gadi Eisenkot over Binyamin Netanyahu for prime minister, according to one poll.
- A majority of respondents opposed including an Arab party in a future coalition.
Five new public opinion polls released between October 5 and October 9 show a significant divergence in projected support for the Likud party ahead of the October 27 Knesset elections. In contrast, Gadi Eisenkot's Yishar party consistently receives between 20 and 23 seats across all five surveys.
A News 12 poll on October 5, conducted by Midgam Institute, projected Yishar with 23 seats and Likud with 21. Naftali Bennett's Bayahad party was forecast to receive 13 seats, followed by Demokratim and Yisrael Beiteinu with 9 each. The Joint Arab List and Yahadut HaTorah were projected to get 8 seats, Shas and Otzma Yehudit 7 each, Tzionut Datit Ve'Zehut 6, and Ra'am 5. The "Amcha Yisrael" party led by Ofer Winter and the "Miluimnikim-Kalkalit" union failed to cross the electoral threshold. This poll indicated the current coalition parties would secure 49 seats, the four main Zionist opposition parties 54, and Arab parties 13, with Yoaz Hendel and Yaron Zelicha's union taking 4 seats.
Conversely, a Channel 14 poll on October 7, conducted by NEXT DATA under Shlomo Filber, presented a dramatically different outcome. It projected Likud with 31 seats and Yishar with 23. Shas was expected to gain 10 seats, Demokratim 9, and Bayahad, Otzma Yehudit, and Yahadut HaTorah 8 each. The Joint List was predicted to receive 7 seats, Tzionut Datit Ve'Zehut 6, and Yisrael Beiteinu and Ra'am 5 each. This poll suggested the current coalition parties would achieve a majority with 63 seats, while the Zionist opposition would get 45, and Arab parties 12.
Other polls showed results between these extremes. A News 13 poll on October 7 gave both Yishar and Likud 20 seats, with Bayahad at 12. An Israel Hayom poll on October 8 projected Yishar with 22 seats and Likud with 21. A Maariv poll on October 9, conducted by Lazar Research and Panel4All, showed Yishar with 21 seats and Likud with 20.
Regarding leadership, 46% of respondents in the Maariv poll considered Gadi Eisenkot more suitable for prime minister, compared to 40% for Binyamin Netanyahu. In a head-to-head comparison, Bennett held a slight advantage over Netanyahu, with 44% to 42%. The poll also revealed that 59% of respondents opposed the inclusion of an Arab party in a future coalition, while 36% supported it. Support for a Haredi party joining the coalition was higher, at 53% in favor and 41% against.
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