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Ongoing Story· Day 34

Poll Shows New Alliances Dim Likelihood of Opposition Forming Government

29 developments

Now 14Politics

New Poll Shows Likud Weakening, Opposition Gaining Ahead of Elections

Translated & summarized from Now 14 by baba

RightNeutral tone

Hebrew · Sole source

A Channel 14 poll shows the Likud party dropping to 31 seats while Gadi Eisenkot's Yisrael Beiteinu gains to 23 seats. The right-wing bloc has 63 mandates and the left-wing bloc has 45. Benjamin Netanyahu leads in prime ministerial preference, but his lead over Eisenkot is shrinking. The survey was conducted by NEXT DATA on October 7, 2026.

The story in 5 lines · by baba

  • A new poll shows the Likud party weakening to 31 seats, while Gadi Eisenkot's party gains to 23 seats.
  • The right-wing bloc holds 63 mandates, and the left-wing bloc holds 45 mandates in the latest poll.
  • Benjamin Netanyahu leads in prime ministerial preference, but his lead over Gadi Eisenkot is narrowing.
  • Several parties, including Amcha Israel and Blue and White, are still below the electoral threshold.
  • The poll was conducted by NEXT DATA with 1100 adult respondents and analyzed by Shlomo Filber.

A new poll conducted by Channel 14 indicates a shift in the Israeli political landscape, with the ruling Likud party losing one seat to stand at 31 mandates, while Gadi Eisenkot's Yisrael Beiteinu party gains two seats, reaching 23. The right-wing bloc collectively holds 63 mandates, compared to 45 for the left-wing bloc. Benjamin Netanyahu remains the preferred candidate for prime minister, though the gap between him and Eisenkot in a head-to-head matchup is narrowing.

In the detailed party breakdown, Shas receives 10 mandates, Hadashot 9, and both Yamina and United Torah Judaism secure 8 mandates each. Otzma Yehudit also gains one seat, reaching 8 mandates. The Joint List garners 7 mandates, Religious Zionism and Zehut receive 6 each, and Yisrael Beiteinu and Ra'am both have 5 mandates.

Several parties remain below the electoral threshold. Amcha Israel, led by Ofer Winter, has increased its support from 1.7% to 2.2%. The Reservists-Economic party rose from 1.2% to 1.8%, and Blue and White saw a significant jump from 0.4% to 1.3%.

Regarding the prime ministerial race, Netanyahu leads with 52% of the vote, followed by Eisenkot with 34%, Naftali Bennett with 10%, and Avigdor Lieberman with 4%. In a direct comparison, Netanyahu garners 52% against Eisenkot's 48%, a decrease from the previous poll's 54% to 46% split.

The survey, which included 1100 adult respondents, was conducted by NEXT DATA and analyzed by Shlomo Filber.

Now 14Right · Jerusalem

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