Israel Repeating Gaza Blunders in Golan Heights, Analyst Warns
Translated & summarized from Israel Hayom by baba
An analysis warns that Israel is repeating the strategic errors made before the October 7th attack in Gaza by adopting a passive approach to the Golan Heights. The article urges a proactive diplomatic strategy to counter potential Syrian pressure for Israeli withdrawal.
The story in 5 lines · by baba
- Israel risks repeating Gaza blunders with a passive approach to the Golan Heights.
- Syria's reconstruction may create conditions for international pressure on Israel.
- A proactive diplomatic strategy is urgently needed for the Golan.
- Increased settlement and infrastructure are crucial for Israeli sovereignty.
- US recognition of Golan sovereignty requires continuous diplomatic effort.
Three years after the October 7th Hamas attack, Israel faces a similar strategic miscalculation regarding the Golan Heights as it did in Gaza, according to an analysis. The article argues that Israel's previous "conception" in Gaza was based on the flawed assumptions that Hamas would not attack and that Israel was prepared if it did. This led to a reliance on defensive measures and intelligence, while dismissing warnings from Hamas leaders like Yahya Sinwar as mere bluster.
The analysis contends that this same flawed logic is now being applied to the Golan Heights. Israel is reportedly failing to recognize that Syria's reconstruction, without a resolution on the Golan, creates optimal conditions for international pressure on Israel to withdraw. Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, seeking Western aid and stability, is seen as potentially leveraging the Golan issue to his advantage.
The article criticizes Israel's current approach as politically blind, similar to its military blindness before the Gaza attack. It warns that Israel is allowing Assad to choose the timing and context for raising the Golan issue internationally, potentially reviving the "land for peace" formula. A recent statement by Assad at the UN General Assembly, asserting that the Golan will remain Syrian and questioning US recognition of Israeli sovereignty, is cited as a significant "political missile."
The author urges Israel to shift from a reactive to a proactive policy. This includes aggressive diplomatic action to reduce the threat and building a stronger foundation for the Golan, rather than waiting for a political attack. The analysis calls for increased settlement, infrastructure investment, and a diplomatic campaign to broaden international recognition of Israeli sovereignty over the Golan.
It emphasizes that the US recognition of Israeli sovereignty is not a guarantee and requires continuous effort. The piece concludes by stating that Israel must act now, learning from the failures of October 7th, and proactively shape the post-conflict settlement rather than leaving it to others. Military superiority, it argues, should serve as a basis for preemptive diplomatic action.
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