Israeli Election Poll Shows No Bloc Near Majority With Weeks Left

A new poll conducted by Direct Polls for i24NEWS reveals that no political bloc is projected to secure the 61-seat majority needed to form a government in the upcoming Israeli legislative elections, scheduled in approximately three and a half weeks. Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party is forecast to gain one seat since the last poll, reaching 28 seats. Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar! party remains steady with 22 seats. Beyahad and Les Démocrates are each expected to win 9 seats. The Common List, Otzma Yehudit, and United Torah Judaism are each projected to receive 8 seats. Israel Beiteinou and Shas are polling at 7 seats apiece. The alliance of the Religious Zionist Party and Zehut, along with Mansour Abbas's Ra'am party, are predicted to fall to 5 seats each. Amkha Israel is expected to win 4 seats. The poll also indicates shifts among Arab parties, with the Common List gaining a seat to reach 8, while Ra'am loses a seat to fall to 5. Opposition parties' standings remain unchanged from the previous survey. Several parties, including The Reservists and the Economic Party, are expected to fall short of the electoral threshold, gathering only 1.8% of voter intentions. Other parties like Tzeva Shahor, Blue-White, Noam LeIsraël, HaTzibur HaHaredi, Ahi, and Israël Tehila also appear unlikely to cross the threshold to enter the Knesset. The survey was conducted on October 1, 2026, with 504 Israelis aged 18 and over participating. It has a margin of error of ±4.3% with a 95% confidence level, and was directed by Tzuriel Sharon.