New Poll Shows No Majority Bloc Ahead of Israeli Elections

A new poll conducted by Direct Polls for i24NEWS indicates that the Likud party is strengthening its position, projected to win 28 seats in the upcoming elections. The Yishai! party, led by Gadi Eisenkot, remains stable with 22 seats. The survey, published on Thursday, reveals no clear majority for any political bloc, with the overall landscape remaining largely unchanged.

The poll forecasts the following seat distribution: Likud 28, Yishai! 22, Together 9, Democrats 9, The Joint List 8, Otzma Yehudit 8, Yahadut HaTorah 8, Yisrael Beiteinu 7, Shas 7, Religious Zionism and Identity 5, United Arab List 5, and Am Israel 4. Parties such as the Reserve Party and the Economic Party received 1.8% of the vote but fell below the electoral threshold, as did Black, Blue and White, Noam, the Haredi Public, Ahi, and Israel First.

While the Likud's projected gains are notable, they appear to come at the expense of the Religious Zionism and Identity parties. Similarly, within the Arab political parties, The Joint List gained a seat from the United Arab List, led by Mansour Abbas. The poll found no significant changes among the opposition parties compared to previous surveys.

The survey was conducted by Direct Polls, headed by Tzuriel Sharon, for i24NEWS on October 1, 2026. It utilized an integrated digital system with an advisory committee and surveyed 504 adult participants (18+) representing a cross-section of the Israeli population. The margin of statistical error is ±4.3% with a 95% confidence level.