New Poll Shows No Bloc With Majority Ahead of Elections

A new poll conducted by Direct Polls for i24NEWS indicates that the Likud party has strengthened to 28 Knesset seats, while the Yishar! party, led by Gadi Eisenkot, remains stable with 22 seats. The survey, published on Thursday, reveals that approximately three and a half weeks before the elections, neither political bloc has secured a majority.

According to the poll, if elections were held today, the seat distribution would be: Likud 28, Yishar! 22, Telem 9, Democrats 9, Joint List 8, Otzma Yehudit 8, United Torah Judaism 8, Yisrael Beiteinu 7, Shas 7, Religious Zionism and Identity 5, Ra'am 5, and Am Israel 4. Several smaller parties, including the reservists' and economic party, Black Color, Blue and White, Noam, Haredi Public, Achi, and Israel First, failed to pass the electoral threshold.

The findings suggest that the overall balance between the blocs has not changed. While the Likud gained seats, this came at the expense of the Religious Zionism and Identity parties. Similarly, within the Arab parties, the Joint List gained a seat from Ra'am, led by Mansour Abbas. Opposition parties saw no significant shifts compared to the previous poll.

The survey was conducted by Direct Polls Ltd., headed by Tzuriel Sharon, for i24NEWS on October 1, 2026. It involved a digital system combined with a panel, surveying 504 adult respondents (18+) representing a cross-section of the Israeli population. The statistical margin of error is plus or minus 4.3% with 95% probability.