Poll Shows Likud Gaining, But No Clear Majority for Government

A new i24NEWS poll indicates the Likud party is strengthening its position, leading the mandate map with 28 seats. However, the survey suggests no single bloc would secure a majority in the Knesset. Following Likud, Yesh Atid is projected to receive 22 mandates, with United Torah Judaism and the Democrats each garnering 9 seats. The Joint List, Otzma Yehudit, and Yahadut HaTorah are each expected to win 8 mandates, while Yisrael Beiteinu and Shas would each get 7. Religious Zionism and Identity are predicted to secure 5 mandates, the same number as Ra'am. Am Echad Yisrael is projected to receive 4 mandates. Several parties, including HaMiluimnikim and HaKolkalit, are shown falling short of the electoral threshold with 1.8% of the vote. Other parties failing to pass the threshold include Tzeva Lavan, Blue and White, Noam LeYisrael, HaTzibur HaHaredi, Achi, and Yisrael Tfila.

A separate poll conducted by Taktika Research and Media for Zman Israel presents a different outlook. In this survey, both Yesh Atid and Likud are projected to receive 21 mandates each. Yisrael Beiteinu and United Torah Judaism are shown with 10 mandates, Shas with 9, and the Democrats, the Joint List, and Yahadut HaTorah with 8 each. Otzma Yehudit is predicted to win 6 mandates, while Ra'am and Religious Zionism would each receive 5. HENDEL and ZELIKHA are also projected to get 5 mandates, with Am Echad Yisrael receiving 4.

According to the second poll's breakdown, the potential coalition would have 53 mandates, the opposition 49, HENDEL and ZELIKHA 5, and the Arab parties 13.